MESOP : JARABULUS SYRIA NEWS & MANBIJ
By Paul Antonopoulos – 25/08/2016 – almasdar News – The Kurdish YPG have announced that they have withdrawn from the northern Syrian town of Manbij after it was only captured from ISIS two weeks ago.
The YPG command have announced in a statement that they have withdrawn to their bases and will leave control of the town to the Manbij Military Council with only Arab members of the YPG-led SDF to remain in the town. It is yet to be seen if these YPG fighters will now engage with Turkish forces and their Islamist proxies who are conducting Euphrates Shield operation.
Türkei kämpft um totale Kontrolle über Dscharablus
25 Aug 2016 – DIE WELT – Am Tag nach dem Beginn der Großoffensive der Türkei in Syrien gegen die Dschihadistenmiliz Islamischer Staat (IS) sind nach türkischen Angaben 20 weitere türkische Panzer auf syrisches Territorium vorgedrungen. Auch mehrere Krankenwagen und schwere Geschütze wurden nach Angaben der Nachrichtenagentur AFP über die Grenze gebracht.
Excellent: Kurdish, Asad & Turkish strategy in Hasaka, Jarablous & Rojava. Implications for US in #Syria” by B Barfi
MESOP TODAYS JARABULUS REPORT : 1) Turkey Changes the Dynamics of the Conflict – 2) The Maneuvers of Foreign Powers – 3) Turkeys “No fly Zone?”
Rebels v. Kurds?
The defeat is another major setback for the Islamic State. Pro-Assad forces took the city of Palmyra in central Syria from ISIS in March, and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces have advanced west from northeast Syria. Earlier this month, the SDF captured ISIS’s main position in Aleppo Province, the city of Manbij.
The retreats leave the Islamic State reliant on the city of Raqqa and surrounding area for their claim of a “caliphate” which includes Syria as well as Iraq. But Wednesday’s development raises even wider questions about the future of the Syrian conflict, notably the relationship between the rebels — now with overt Turkish involvement in their position — and Kurdish forces who are opposed by Ankara.
ROJAVA’S SUSTAINABILITY & THE PKK’S REGIONAL STRATEGY
By Fabrice Balanche – Fabrice Balanche, an associate professor and research director at the University of Lyon 2, is a visiting fellow at The Washington Institute. – PolicyWatch 2680 – August 24, 2016
As the Kurds continue to pursue their goal of a contiguous territory in northern Syria, various nonmilitary factors will determine whether their nascent statelet is viable in the long term, including a host of demographic, economic, water, and oil issues. Although it is still difficult to predict the future of Syria as a whole, the existence of an increasingly autonomous Kurdish region along the country’s northern frontier has become a reality. For now, the boundaries of this “Rojava” remain blurred and might be different from those officially claimed by the Syrian Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD). Yet the group’s ongoing efforts to expand and merge its cantons reflect a firm commitment to gathering Syria’s Kurds into an economically viable statelet that extends tantalizingly close to the Mediterranean Sea — a prospect that could also advance the goals of its parent organization in Turkey, the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK).
YPG says it will pull back to east of Euphrates, but the rest of SDF forces will stay put http://www.timeturk.com/ypg-firat-in-batisindan-cekiliyoruz/haber-264227 …
YPG spokesman: “As requested by our American allies, we are withdrawing from all territories west of the Euphrates.”
ISIS account calling on sympathisers in Turkey to commit acts of terror in response to Turkish invasion: http://www.gazeteciler.com/gundem/cerablus-operasyonu-sonrasi-isid-hesaplarindan-eylem-cagrisi-100418h.html …
MESOP REPORT : WAS GESCHIEHT IN MANBIJ ? DIE PKK/PYD KOMMUNE & IHRE MENSCHEN & AUCH LINKE
BEIRUT, 23. August. Für Hassan Naifi ist Manbidsch nicht befreit worden. „Die Menschen waren heilfroh darüber, dass die Dschihadisten weg sind”, sagt er. „Aber die freundlichen Befreier haben auch ein anderes Gesicht.” Mitte des Monats war der „Islamische Staat” (IS) aus der nordsyrischen Stadt vertrieben worden. Nach wochenlangen Kämpfen und massiven Luftangriffen der amerikanisch geführten Anti-IS-Koalition waren die Milizionäre der Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in die Stadt eingerückt. Frauen verbrannten ihre Vollschleier, steckten sich Zigaretten an, umarmten kurdische Kämpferinnen. Aber Hassan Naifi, der auf der Todesliste des IS stand und fliehen musste, ist noch nicht in Feierstimmung. Er kann nicht zurück. Sein Bruder und dessen Familie, die geblieben war, die der IS als Geisel genommen und weiter im Norden freigelassen hatte, auch nicht. Die neuen Herrscher (PKK/PYD) würden das nicht zulassen, sagt er.
“KNOW BETTER WITH MESOP” : THE REASON & THE GENESIS OF TODAYS TURKISH INVASION WITH US HELDPING HAND
Backed by Washington, Turkey & Syrian rebel allies take Jarablus as Kurds shut out
AMMAN: 24 Augusten 2016 – SYRIA DIRECT – Multiple Syrian rebel groups fighting with the Turkish forces announced the “complete liberation of Jarablus city from the terrorist IS gangs” late Wednesday afternoon. Rebels posted pictures on social media, reportedly from inside the city. Syria Direct could not independently confirm the images or the extent of rebel control over the city and its surrounding villages.Immediately east of Jarablus, just across the Euphrates, lies territory held by the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Kurdish forces hold territory extending eastwards along the Turkish border to Iraq.
MESOP TODAYS SUMMARY OF RELEVANT VOICES: TURKEY’S & BIDEN’S OFFENSIVE IN SYRIA – NYT – HURRIYET – BBC – AL AJZEERA – REUTERS – FINANCIAL TIMES et. al.
MESOP ESSENTIAL INTERVIEW WITH STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS : Syria Interview: Rebel Faction Jaish al-Islam on the Political & Military Situation
Last week, the Jaish al-Islam spokesman, Captain Islam Alloush, gave an extensive interview on the political and military situation:
The Situation Near DamascusHave your recent offensives achieved their objectives since the start of the al-Riqaa battle series?
Yes, we have achieved 70% to 80% of the targets that we set in East Ghouta and Eastern Qalamoun.
What is the current situation in the city of Daraa and in the Yarmouk Basin [in western Daraa Province] as the fronts against the regime are static while the ISIS-affiliated faction Army of Khalid Bin al-Waleed is active? Do you have any presence there?