Allowing Iran To Conquer Iraq Will Not Help Defeat The Islamic State
By Kyle Orton (@KyleWOrton) on March 15, 2015 – Iraq’s Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi announced the beginning of an offensive on March 1 to dislodge the Islamic State (ISIS) from Salah ad-Din Province. Abadi announced that this would be led by the Iraqi army and Hashd al-Shabi, known in English as the Popular Mobilization Units (PMUs), the militias composed overwhelmingly of Shi’ites and directed by Iran.
Now.mmedia – 14 Mar 2015 Every strategy to defeat ISIS is a bad strategy unless it takes the post-ISIS scenario into consideration; that is, Iran is here to stay
The Iranians know about resistance, or so they say. They know that any occupying force will be faced with resistance. They’ve supported “resistance forces” in the region for decades. Today, they’re on the other side of the equation. Iran has become an occupying force in the region, according to statements by its own officials, and therefore, it will now face resistance—in this case, an aggressive and sectarian one. But Iranians will not lose, simply because they won’t be fighting on the ground. What Iran is looking forward to is the following: a deal with the US that will see sanctions lifted (or at least a significant part of the sanctions), a blind eye to its growing influence in the region, and eventually a supremacy that allows it to make major changes to the current geopolitical map of the Middle East.
Qasem Soleimani, Iran’s most powerful man in Iraq, seen on video
By RÛDAW 13 March 2015 – ERBIL, Kurdistan Region – The commander of Iran’s elite Quds force, who has been reportedly leading the Iraqi Army and its allied Shiite militia in the fight to push Islamic State (ISIS) out of the city of Tikrit, has been captured on video speaking in Arabic for the first time. In a short video posted on YouTube Soleimani, who has commanded immense influence in Iraq for many years, is seen giving religious advice, apparently to the joint forces fighting for Tikrit.
“If negotiations collapse, the United States will take the blame from Europe and the sanctions regime will unravel. And here’s the best-case scenario: Any military action against Iran will set its nuclear program back, at best, a couple of years. But the anger will last generations,” warns Jeffrey Lewis in Foreign Policy.
“The impending deal is not final. For cultural and political reasons, Iran may never agree to any deal, even one as advantageous as this one. Yet, unless the United States dramatically reverses the concessions it has made, this deal will not defer the threat of war, but accelerate it,” writes Gabriel Scheinmann in Time.
13 March 2015 – The permanent members of the UN Security Council—the UK, China, France, Russia, and the United States—joined by Germany and Iran have begun talks to lift sanctions against Iran if a nuclear agreement is reached, Reuters news agency reported, quoting Western officials. A UN resolution would make it more difficult for the U.S. Congress to undo a deal that constricts Iran’s nuclear activity. The talks comes days after U.S. Senators sent a letter to Iran warning that a deal inked by the Obama administration could be revoked by Congress. Negotiations for a nuclear deal between the United States and Iran are slated to resume (U.S. State Department) between U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and his Iranian counterpart Javad Sharif on March 15 in Lausanne, Switzerland. Negotiators are seeking to reach a nuclear framework agreement deal by the end of March
PolicyWatch 2383 – March 12, 2015 – By Anna Borshchevskaya – As negotiations intensify this month, Moscow will continue pursuing its own agenda.
EAST KURDISTAN (IRAN) PolicyWatch 2383 – March 12, 2015 – By Anna Borshchevskaya – As negotiations intensify this month, Moscow will continue pursuing its own agenda.
MESOP TODAY’S COMMENTARY BY HUDSON INSTITUTE – The Fatal Flaw in Obama’s Dealings With Iran / Douglas J. Feith
“Extraordinarily reasonable,” President Obama called it in an interview aired on Sunday, referring to the multiparty deal being negotiated on Iran’s nuclear-weapons program. When the talks began, Mr. Obama said it was “unacceptable” for Iran to acquire nuclear weapons. Now it isn’t clear whether that is actually his view. On Capitol Hill, distrust of the president is intense, fueled by resentment that he doesn’t intend to submit the nuclear deal for congressional approval. Forty-seven Republican senators on Monday sent a letter to Tehran explaining that a future U.S. president or Congress could easily revoke an agreement not validated by this Congress. Mr. Obama responded testily, accusing the signers of making “common cause with the hard-liners in Iran.”
MESOP : THE BROOKINGS COMMENTARY ON A POSTAL DELIVERY TO THE AJATOLLAHS Letters to the ayatollah, the sequel: The Republican letter to Iran’s leaders reflects strategy as well as spite
Republican Tom Cotton speaks after winning a an Arkansas Senate seat in midterm elections on November 4, 2014. – In a new low for bipartisan consensus on U.S. foreign policy, 47 Republican senators have issued an “open letter” addressed to the Iranian leadership that is intended to sabotage prospects for a comprehensive nuclear deal with Iran by cultivating doubt about the credibility and reliability of the American president. Although the letter has drawn wide reproach as a partisan tactic and a dangerous precedent, it might just accomplish what it was intended to do — reinforce the paranoia of the Iranian regime and scuttle long-awaited progress toward a negotiated resolution of the Iranian nuclear impasse.
EAST KURDISTAN (IRAN) MESOP EXCLUSIV : Leak Investigation Could Reveal U.S.-Israeli Covert Operation
A leak investigation targeting retired Marine Gen. James E. Cartwright has stalled due to fears that a prosecution could reveal classified information about joint U.S.-Israeli efforts to sabotage Iran’s nuclear program. Investigators suspect that Cartwright leaked details of the operation, which used the computer worm Stuxnet to destroy Iran’s nuclear centrifuges, to New York Times reporter David Sanger. However, prosecution could force the government to confirm details of the operation in open court, potentially putting it at odds with the Israeli government, if Israeli officials were opposed to having their role revealed. U.S. officials also fear that it could undermine negotiations with Tehran over its nuclear program at a sensitive time. http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/leak-investigation-stalls-amid-fears-of-confirming-joint-us-israel-operation/2015/03/10/2a348b1e-c36c-11e4-9ec2-b418f57a4a99_story.html?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=%2AMideast%20Brief&utm_campaign=2014_The%20Middle%20East%20Daily