MESOP NEWS TODAYS COMMENTARY BY SONER CAGAPTEY – TURKEY IN CRISIS
By Soner Cagaptay – U.S. News & World Report – April 18, 2017 – author of the new book The New Sultan: Erdogan and the Crisis of Modern Turkey.
Without an organized opposition, Erdogan’s expanded powers may end Turkish democracy.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s narrow win in Sunday’s referendum, which significantly expands his powers, is not promising for Turkey’s future. Following the referendum, Erdogan has become the most powerful Turk since Mustafa Kemal Ataturk founded modern Turkey in 1923. But while half of the country loves Erdogan, the other half loathes him: Herein lies Turkey’s crisis.
MESOP NEWS INSIGHT : INTERNAL FIGHTING RESULTS IN THE RANKS OF PKK LEADERSHIP / CEMIL BAYIK MISTRUSTS OECALAN SINCE MANY YEARS & MURAT KARAYILAN
PKK Marginalizing Leaders Close to Jailed Leader Ocalan: Writer / PKK has learned that there is a compromise between Erdogan and Ocalan
Basnews English – 18/04/2017 – 16:50 ERBIL — Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) has started to marginalize its leaders whose views are close to those of the jailed leader Abdullah Ocalan, particularly after Qandil has suspected that there is a compromise between the Turkish President Recep Tayip Erdogan and Ocalan. According to leaked information, “the smell” of a compromise between Ocalan and Erdogan has reached Qandil, PKK’s main headquarter, the Syrian Kurdish political writer Hoshang Osei, wrote on social media.
Murat Karayılan is the only remaining leader close to Ocalan in PKK’s leadership, according to Osei who says that he is the closest leader to the party’s national orientation, and can communicate with the leadership of Iraqi Kurdistan.
MESOP NEWS EXCLUSIV DOCUMENTS : THE OSCE STATEMENT OF ERDOGAN’S REFERENDUM (TURKISH LANGUAGE)
SINIRLI REFERANDUM GÖZLEM HEYETİ
Türkiye Cumhuriyeti – Anayasa Değişikliği Referandumu, 16 Nisan 2017
İLK BULGULAR VE SONUÇLAR İLE İLGİLİ RAPOR
İLK SONUÇLAR
16 Nisan Anayasa Değişikliği Referandumu eşit şartlara sahip olmayan bir ortamda gerçekleşmiş ve
kampanyanın iki tarafı eşit olanaklara sahip olmamıştır. Reformun kilit unsurları konusunda
seçmenlere tarafsız bilgi sağlanmamış ve sivil toplum örgütlerinin katılımı mümkün olamamıştır.
MESOP NEWS EXCLUSIV DOCUMENTS : THE OSCE STATEMENT ON TURKEY’S REFERENDUM
INTERNATIONAL REFERENDUM OBSERVATION MISSION
Republic of Turkey – Constitutional Referendum, 16 April 2017
STATEMENT OF PRELIMINARY FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS
PRELIMINARY CONCLUSIONS
The 16 April constitutional referendum took place on an unlevel playing field and the two sides of the campaign did not have equal opportunities. Voters were not provided with impartial information about key aspects of the reform, and civil society organizations were not able to participate. Under the state of emergency put in place after the July 2016 failed coup attempt, fundamental freedoms essential to a genuinely democratic process were curtailed. The dismissal or detention of thousands of citizens negatively affected the political environment. One side’s dominance in the coverage and restrictions on the media reduced voters’ access to a plurality of views. While the technical aspects of the referendum were well administered and referendum day proceeded in an orderly manner, late changes in counting procedures removed an important safeguard and were contested by the opposition.
MESOP NEWS ANALYSIS : DIFFERENT LAW – DIFFERENT FUNDAMENT / KEMAL PASHA vs. SULTAN ERDOGAN
RIP Turkey, 1921 – 2017 – By Steven A. Cook – BY FOREIGN POLICY
Posted 2017-04-17 16:51 GMT – On Jan. 20, 1921, the Turkish Grand National Assembly passed the Teşkilât-ı Esasîye Kanunu, or the Law on Fundamental Organization. It would be almost three years until Mustafa Kemal — known more commonly as Ataturk, or “Father Turk” — proclaimed the Republic of Turkey, but the legislation was a critical marker of the new order taking shape in Anatolia.
The new country called Turkey, quite unlike the Ottoman Empire, was structured along modern lines. It was to be administered by executive and legislative branches, as well as a Council of Ministers composed of elected representatives of the parliament. What had once been the authority of the sultan, who ruled alone with political and ecclesiastic legitimacy, was placed in the hands of legislators who represented the sovereignty of the people.
MESOP NEWS : QUESTIONING PKK NOW / AFTER REFERENDUM
A contribution by our friend Barzan Slaeman:
The Kurdistan Worker’s Party(PKK) is now put to a test. Now that the Turkish president Erdogan has been given executive power, I actually want to see what PKK can achieve? PKK has collapsed a long time, when hundreds of Kurdish MPs including Demirtash were thrown in prison.
The key question is, what will the PKK do now, and what is it capable of doing? At this current stage, if they continues to stay silent, it shows that eventually the PKK is coming to an end.
What I see now is, their goal is to stabilize Rojava and take over Shingal. The PKK has long forgotten about its 25 million Kurdish population in Northern Kurdistan since late 2014, and has been focusing on Shingal. If they are capable of what they actually say, why is Demirtash still in prison? Why has the armed conflict technically ended since 2014 against Turkey?
Let’s find out who the PKK have become since 2014? And what they are capable of doing besides enforcing themselves in Shingal?
www.mesop.de
MESOP COUNTING : STIMM-ERGEBNISSE IN SÜDOSTANATOLIEN – KURDISTAN / URSACHEN
NIEDRIGE WAHLBETEILIGUNG – RELATIV HOHE KURDISCHE STIMMENANTEILE PRO ERDOGAN – ERGEBNIS DER PKK-MILITANZ 2015/16 IN URBANEN GEBIETEN – KURDISCHER MITTELSTAND EHER PRO ERDOGAN ALS FÜR PKK (MESOP)
Michael Martens, FAZ 18 April 2017
(……) Hinzu kam ein weiteres Detail: Zwischen 2015 und 2016 kam es in vielen Städten Südostanatoliens zu bürgerkriegsähnlichen Kämpfen zwischen staatlichen. Sicherheitskräften und zumeist jungen Anhängern der kurdischen Terrorbande PKK, die den Kampf bewusst und ohne Rücksicht auf zivile Verluste in die Zentren der Städte getragen hatte. Als Folge dieser Kämpfe sind bis zu 500 000 Anwohner — in aller Regel Kurden — zu Binnen-vertriebenen geworden. Das ist mehr als ein Prozent der Bürger, die am Sonntag ihre Stimme abgaben. Die meisten dieser vornehmlich kurdischen Binnenvertriebenen gelten nicht als Unterstützer Erdogans, sind an ihren derzeitigen Wohnorten aber nicht registriert und können deshalb auch nicht wählen.
Was folgt daraus? Eine Analyse der Wahlergebnisse aus den kurdisch geprägten südostanatolischen Provinzen der Türkei, wo fast 3,2 Millionen Wahlberechtigte registriert sind, zeigt zumindest eines:
MESOP COUNTING : KURDEN MIT-VERANTWORTLICH FÜR ERDOGAN’S SIEG ?
HOHE STIMMENANTEILE PRO ERDOGAN IN KURDISCHEN GEBIETEN / KURDISCHE BAZARIS – MITTELSTÄNDLER & GEBILDETE SIND DIE PKK LEID
18 April 2017 – Face Book Debatte zwischen Kurden
Estêr Eylem Polat Es gibt auch vor allem aus dem CHP-Lager viele, die die Kurden für das Ja verantwortlich machen. Stimmt, Bayburt, Yozgat, Rize, Gümüshane etc. sind ja auch alles kurdische Hochburgen.
Sahin Karanlik Haben die Kurden mehrheitlich mit ja gewählt? Ich habe nur Diyarbakir mit 40% gesehen.
Estêr Eylem Polat Mehrheitlich mit Nein. Es gibt aber auch kurdische Städte wie Bitlis oder Bingöl, die mehrheitlich Ja gewählt haben. Insgesamt kommen aber die meisten Nein-Stimmen aus dem Westen (Kemalisten) und aus dem Osten (Kurden).
Cihan Çevirme Ich habe mich gefreut, dass şırnak und edirne ca. 70% haben.
Das ist eine Hoffnung für gemeinsamen Widerstand. Auch erfreulich ist der neue Slogan der HDP “ortak vatan ve demokratik cumhuriyet”.
MESOP NEWS BOOK RECOMMENDATION : SONER CAGAPTEY
Soner Cagaptay’s THE NEW SULTAN released by I.B. Tauris
“This is a brave and balanced narrative of Turkey’s mercurial President Erdogan. Soner Cagaptay explains how the ‘new sultan’ built a modern and prosperous Turkey, but how his ‘dark, illiberal side’ undermined these achievements and throttled democracy. Turkey is now at a crossroads, and Cagaptay provides a clear roadmap. Nobody tells Erdogan’s story better or more honestly.”
—DAVID IGNATIUS – The Washington Post – 18 April 2017 – www.mesop.de
MESOP NEWS BY “THE MASTERS OF THE WORLD WIDE ‘OPEN SOCIETY’ / GERMAN BUSINESS AGREE WITH REFERENDUM RESULTS
Goldman SachsVerified account @GoldmanSachs
The reports about a Goldman Sachs poll on the likely outcome of the Turkish referendum are untrue and should not be treated credibly
2:32 PM – 15 Apr 2017
“From a market perspective a circa 45 percent victory would be slightly positive,” Ahmet Akarli, an economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. wrote in a note to clients on March 25. “It would leave the domestic political scene largely unchanged and allow the government to refocus on the IMF process and finalize ongoing negotiations with the Fund.”
http://www.hurriyet.com.tr/turkey-stocks-bonds-may-rally-on-erdogan-victory-goldman-says-11304931
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