MESOPOTAMIA NEWS HINTERGRUND: Putin scheint Erdogan mal wieder ausmanövriert zu haben

(Aus dem Artikel „Russia leaves little room for Turkey in Azeri-Armenian truce“, der bei Al-Monitor erschienen ist. Übersetzung von Alexander Gruber.

13 Nov 2020 – Russische – und nicht türkische – Truppen sollen den aserbaidschanisch-armenischen Waffenstillstand überwachen, was bedeutet, dass Ankara seine Erfolge auf dem Schlachtfeld nicht in Erfolge am Verhandlungstisch ummünzen konnte.

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS “WHICH WAY THE WIND BLOWS!”:  EUROPA BEKOMMT DEN ISLAM / ASIEN BEKOMMT EUROPA ! – ENDSPIEL !

RCEP-Abkommen : Der größte Handelspakt der Welt steht

  • Von Christoph Hein, Singapur FAZ – -Aktualisiert am 13.11.2020- 15  asiatische Nationen schließen ein Freihandelsabkommen – die Einigung umfasst zwei Milliarden Menschen und 30 Prozent der Weltwirtschaft. Schon am Sonntag soll der Mega-Pakt unterschrieben werden. Die treibende Kraft  China dahinter ist offensichtlich.

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : Turkey’s Win-Win Strategy in the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict –  Supported by Weapons from Israel

By Emil Avdaliani – November 13, 2020 –  BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 1,816, November 13, 2020

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has become an important component of Turkish foreign policy. Over the years, Ankara’s support for Baku has grown exponentially. Diplomacy was an element of this support, but more significant was the dispatch of sophisticated weaponry. Greater support for Azerbaijan coincided with Turkey’s more active foreign policy in the Middle East and the Mediterranean, and is now strikingly different from Ankara-Baku relations of the 1990s and even the early 2010s. The reason for Ankara’s assertiveness could be access to energy and trade routes.

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS THE COMPLETE PICTURE : TERRORISM IN FRANCE –  NEW AND OLD TRENDS IN JIHADISM

Featuring Laurence Bindner, Hugo Micheron, and Aaron Y. Zelin  – Policy Forum Report November 13, 2020

Three experts on European jihadism discuss the root causes and operational significance of recent Islamist violence in France.

On November 10, The Washington Institute held a virtual Policy Forum with Laurence Binder, Hugo Micheron, and Aaron Zelin. Bindner is the cofounder of JOS Project, an associate fellow with GNET, and a member of the UN Security Council’s CTED Global Research Network. Micheron is a postdoctoral research associate at Princeton University’s Institute for Transregional Studies. Zelin is the Richard Borow Fellow at The Washington Institute and a visiting research scholar at Brandeis University. The following is a rapporteur’s summary of their remarks.

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : DIE HISTORIE EINER FAMILIE VON MASSENMÖRDERN & FOLTERERN  – DIE ASSADS VON SYRIEN

13 Nov 2020 NEUE ZÜRCHER ZEITUNG – Vor 50 Jahren putschte sich Hafez al-Asad in Syrien an die Macht

Das ist passiert: Am 13. November 1970 liess der damals 40-jährige Vater des heutigen Machthabers Bashar in einem unblutigen Coup seine Gegenspieler verhaften. Es war ein steiniger Weg vom Studentenführer zum Diktator gewesen, aber Geduld und Pragmatismus zeichneten den Begründer der «schiitischen Achse» aus. Die Allmacht Asads und seines von Alawiten kontrollierten Sicherheitsapparates brachte Syrien während Jahrzehnten eine zuvor unvorstellbare politische Stabilität.

Darum ist es wichtig: Im Gegensatz zu seinem Vater fiel Bashar die Macht in den Schoss. Er verspielte das Erbe, wie es die Söhne reicher Eltern häufig tun, indem er die Wirtschaft unter seiner Familie konzentrierte. Zudem gelang es ihm nicht, das politische Netzwerk des Vaters zu bewahren, das alle Religionsgruppen und alle wichtigen Geschäftsmänner umfasste. Die Folge war der Ausbruch des syrischen Bürgerkriegs 2011

  weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : GOOD MORNING, SLEEPY JOE! – Iran schließt Neuverhandlung des Atomdeals mit Biden-Administration aus

  1. Nov 2020 – In einem langen Mediengespräch mit den Medien erörterte der Sprecher des iranischen Außenministeriums, Saeed Khatibzadeh, dass der Iran den 2015 geschlossenen Gemeinsamen Umfassenden Aktionsplan, auch bekannt als Atom-Deal, nicht neu verhandeln werde.

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : LAVROV TAKES INITIATIVE – NOT SLEEPY JOE BIDEN

 Lavrov: Delegations from France, US visit Russia for consultations on Karabakh

The Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov revealed that two delegations from France and the United States will visit Moscow to discuss the ceasefire agreement in Karabakh.

WORLD-Middle East 12 Nov 2020, Thu – amThe Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that two delegations from France and the United States will visit Moscow in the coming days to consult on Karabakh and discuss the agreements that have been reached, according to the Russian RIA Novosti agency.

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS INTEL BY MEIR AMIT INTELLIGENCE CENTER / ISRAEL – Spotlight on Global Jihad (November 5-11, 2020)

Main events of the past week
  • In the Idlib region, exchanges of artillery fire continued between the Syrian army and the rebel organizations, mainly Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). The airstrikes (mostly Russian) against rebel positions also continued. According to reports from this week, the Turkish army is making preparations to evacuate two control posts south of Idlib, apparently as part of a Russian-Turkish agreement.
  • ISIS continues its routine activity in the various provinces. Noteworthy examples:
    • Syria: attacks and ambushes against the Syrian army and forces supporting it in the desert region west of the Euphrates Valley. Attacks also continue against Turkish-backed rebel organizations, particularly in the region of the city of Al-Bab, northeast of Aleppo.
    • Iraq: the attacks in the various provinces continue, in the form of activating IEDs, sniper fire and small arms fire. Worth noting is a series of attacks against a compound of the Tribal Mobilization (a Sunni militia that supports the Iraqi regime) on the outskirts of Baghdad. ISIS claims that 18 fighters were killed in the attacks.
    • Nigeria: deadly attacks against the Nigerian army continued in the northeast of the country. According to ISIS, dozens of soldiers and members of the forces supporting the Nigerian army were killed.
    • The Sinai Peninsula: ISIS’s intensive activity in northeastern Sinai continues, mainly in the form of detonating IEDs against Egyptian army vehicles.
    • Mozambique: ISIS-affiliated jihadist operatives have been targeting the civilian population in the northeast of the country. They carried out mass executions of villagers, abducted women and set fire to houses.
  • At the propaganda level, ISIS’s campaign for terrorist attacks against the West in general, and France in particular, continues. This included posters on Instagram in Arabic, English and French, showing Europe/the West going up in smoke and the Eiffel Tower in ruins.
ISIS’s attacks around the globe
Summary of ISIS’s activity in the various provinces (October 29 – November 4, 2020)

ISIS released an infographic summarizing its activity on October 29 – November 4, 2020. During this time, ISIS carried out 53 attacks around the world, compared to 83 in the previous week (a decrease of about 36% in the number of attacks following the end of the Raids of Response to the Call campaign). Most of the attacks were carried out in Iraq (21). Attacks were also carried out in ISIS’s other provinces: Syria (9); West Africa (8); Central Africa (6); Sinai Peninsula (5); Khorasan, i.e., Afghanistan (2); Somalia (1); and Austria (shooting attack in Vienna (1) (Al-Naba’ weekly, Telegram, October 29, 2020).

  • According to the infographic, a total of 289 people were killed and wounded in those attacks, compared to 350 in the previous week (i.e., a decrease of about 17% in the number of casualties). The largest number of casualties was in Khorasan, i.e., Afghanistan (86). The other casualties were in West Africa (84); Central Africa (51); Austria (shooting attack in Vienna) (30); Iraq (18); Syria (17); and Somalia (3); (Telegram, November 5, 2020).
The Syrian arena
The Idlib region

This week, incidents continued In the Idlib region, mainly exchanges of artillery fire between the Syrian army and the rebel organizations. Particularly noteworthy was an incident in which the Syrian army fired artillery at neighborhoods in Idlib and Ariha (about 10 km south of Idlib), killing seven civilians and wounding dozens. In response, HTS (and other rebel organizations) fired artillery at Syrian army positions and forces. According to HTS, over 30 fighters were killed and 10 were wounded (Ibaa, November 4, 2020). In addition, airstrikes (mainly Russian) continued against rebel positions.

Airstrikes

UAV attack on HTS positions
  • On November 7, 2020, a UAV attacked HTS positions in Jabal Zawiya, about 20 km southeast of Idlib. Seven Uzbek operatives were reportedly killed in the airstrike (Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, November 7, 2020).[1] So far, HTS has not mentioned the attack.
HTS positions which were attacked (Google Maps)
HTS positions which were attacked
(Google Maps)
Russian airstrikes
  • On November 7, 2020at least 13 Russian airstrikes were carried out against the rebel organizations south and southeast of Idlib. No fatalities have been reported (Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, November 7, 2020).
Russian airstrike on the outskirts of the village of Sarja, southeast of Idlib (@De1pIPg5cAKcgtb Twitter account, November 7, 2020)     Russian airstrike on the outskirts of the village of Sarja, southeast of Idlib (@De1pIPg5cAKcgtb Twitter account, November 7, 2020)
Russian airstrike on the outskirts of the village of Sarja, southeast of Idlib
(@De1pIPg5cAKcgtb Twitter account, November 7, 2020)
Preparations for the evacuation of Turkish army control posts
  • On November 7, 2020, the Turkish army began preparations for evacuating its control post about 40 km south of Idlib, on the Damascus-Aleppo international highway (M-4, see No. 1 on the map). Afterwards, Turkey will also withdraw from another control post about 50 km southwest of Idlib (see No. 2 on the map). The evacuation of the control posts reportedly takes place as part of a Russian-Turkish agreement in the Idlib region (Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, November 7, 2020).

Control posts due to be evacuated
(Google Maps)
ISIS’s activity in Syria[2]
The region of Deir ez-Zor and Al-Mayadeen
  • On November 8, 2020, the SDF Counterterrorism Apparatus, with International Coalition air support, operated against ISIS near Al-Basira, about 10 km north of Al-Mayadeen. They captured four ISIS squad members who engaged in making IEDs and carrying out targeted killings (Twitter account of the SDF Coordination and Military Ops Center, November 8, 2020).
  • On November 5, 2020the Abu Fadl al-Abbas Brigade, which is subordinate to the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps[3], lost contact with its force, which numbered two vehicles and 10 fighters, while the force was operating in the desert region of Al-Mayadeen. Two days later, on November 7, 2020, the brigade sent another force to look for the force which disappeared, but with no results. The brigade has reportedly lost dozens of fighters in attacks and ambushes by ISIS operatives deployed in the desert (Ibaa, November 7, 2020).
  • On November 4, 2020, a Syrian army vehicle was targeted by machine gun fire in the desert region west of Al-Mayadeen. The passengers were wounded.
The region near the Syrian-Turkish border

ISIS’s activity has continued against Turkish-backed rebel organizations operating near the Syrian-Turkish border. This week, ISIS’s activity was focused on Al-Bab, northeast of Aleppo, and mainly took the form of detonating IEDs against targets of the Turkish-backed rebel organizations.

  • On November 9, 2020, an IED was activated against a rebel organization vehicle in the Jarabulus area (about 100 km northeast of Aleppo, near the border between Syria and Turkey). The passengers were wounded.
  • On November 7, 2020, an IED was activated against a rebel organization vehicle about 40 km north of Aleppo (about 6 km south of the Syrian-Turkish border). One operative was killed and three were wounded.
  • On November 7, 2020, ISIS operatives tricked sappers of one of the rebel organizations into approaching an IED planted near a hospital in central Al-Bab. After the sappers believed that they had neutralized the IED and took it with them, it was activated against them. Three operatives were killed. The Turkish media reported that three local policemen had been killed (Anatolia, November 7, 2020).
  • On November 4, 2020, an IED was activated against the vehicle of a commander in one of the rebel organizations in Al-Bab. He was killed.
The Iraqi arena
Provinces of Iraq (Wikipedia)
Provinces of Iraq (Wikipedia)

ISIS’s increased activity in Iraq

Overview
  • Senior Iraqi journalist Sinan Mahmoud recently published an article reviewing ISIS’s activity in Iraq over the past year.[4] The article notes that over the past year, ISIS has made a significant effort to increase its activity in Iraq. Lieutenant General Abdul-Wahab Al Saedi, the Head of the Counter Terrorism Service (CTS), estimates ISIS numbers in Iraq at 2500-3,000 fighters. They have reorganized in rural regions in central and northern Iraq, and carry out hit-and-run attacks.
  • The author notes that the increase in the number of ISIS attacks in the country occurs due to a series of events: political and social turmoil; COVID-19 restrictions; economic crisis; and the planned withdrawal of US troops from Iraq. All of these have caused disruption in Iraqi security forces training programs and reduced the amount of military support provided by US-led Coalition countries. These circumstances, according to the author, have served ISIS in the past year.
ISIS’s methods of operation and financial sources
  • ISIS’s methods of operation in Iraq are diverse: assassinations of civilians, security personnel and government officials; limited-scale attacks against checkpoints; abduction, extortion and burning crops. ISIS operatives carry out quick attacks on selected targets. The most recent of these was the abduction and murder of Sheikh Ali Fdhala Al Kaabi on October 30, 2020. He was a local commander of paramilitary Shiite units (Popular Mobilization) taking part in the fight against ISIS. Hours after the abduction, his son received a phone call from a local ISIS operative telling him to collect the dead man. As the son and his friends approached the body, which was lying on its back with its arms bound, they walked into a booby trap. The explosion killed the son, two grandsons and a nephew.
  • The author notes that although the military operations of the Iraqi security forces continue, the power of ISIS’s terrorists is intensifying again. The Iraqi government has failed to prevent ISIS remnants from moving freely in small groups in remote villages. It also lacks solid intelligence about local operatives, since ISIS operatives are well-trained local operatives. ISIS operatives manage to generate revenue for the organization in Iraq through extortion and donations from supportive communities, as well as funds from supporters abroad.
Summary and conclusions

ISIS is gaining strength in the Iraqi arena even though its capabilities are still limited. Due to the limitations of the fight against it, ISIS manages to carry out successful and even deadly attacks. The current situation in Iraq is not a repeat of the one in 2012-13 that led to the rise of ISIS. However, if ISIS’s activity is left unchecked, it could spiral out of control.

ISIS attacks in the various provinces[5]

Deadly ISIS attack on the western entrance of Baghdad

On the evening of November 8, 2020, ISIS operatives attacked with light arms fire and hand grenades an observation tower of the Iraqi army and the Tribal Mobilization in the Al-Radwaniyah area, about 5 km southwest of Baghdad (near Baghdad’s western entrance). Five fighters and six civilians were killed and eight others were wounded (Al-Sumaria, November 8, 2020).

  • ISIS claimed responsibility for the attack. According to ISIS, its operatives attacked a Tribal Mobilization compound in Al-Radwaniyah by machine gun fire and hand grenades. Four Tribal Mobilization fighters were killed. In addition, several Tribal Mobilization vehicles were attacked in the same area, and 12 fighters who were inside were killed. Apart from that, an IED was activated against a Tribal Mobilization vehicle, killing two fighters and wounding another. In total, according to ISIS, 18 Tribal Mobilization and Popular Mobilization fighters were killed.
Diyala Province
  • On November 8, 2020, an Iraqi commando was targeted by sniper fire west of Khanaqin, about 100 km northeast of Baqubah. He was wounded.
  • On November 7, 2020, a fighter of the Iraqi counterterrorism unit was targeted by sniper fire about 15 km north of Baqubah. He was killed. When a unit force arrived at the scene, it was hit by gunfire. Two fighters were wounded.
  • On November 5, 2020, an IED was activated against Popular Mobilization fighters about 15 km northeast of Baqubah. Two fighters were killed and two others were wounded. When an Iraqi police patrol arrived at the scene, another IED was activated against it. Two policemen were killed and two others were wounded.
Babel Province
  • On November 8, 2020, an IED was activated against a vehicle carrying Hezbollah fighters (apparently, this refers to Hezbollah Battalions, a Shiite militia operating under Iranian sponsorship). The vehicle was put out of commission. A force arriving at the scene to provide assistance was ambushed. Six fighters were killed or wounded. In addition, Iraqi soldiers who were at the scene were targeted by gunfire. About 10 soldiers were killed or wounded. In total, 16 fighters and soldiers were killed or wounded.
Salah al-Din Province
  • On November 10, 2020, an IED was activated against a Popular Mobilization bulldozer about 200 km north of Baghdad. The passengers were killed or wounded.
  • On November 10, 2020, an RPG rocket was fired at an Iraqi army vehicle northwest of Samarra, about 100 km northwest of Baghdad. The passengers were killed or wounded.
  • On November 7, 2020, an Iraqi police compound was targeted by machine gun fire west of Samarra. One policeman was wounded.
  • On November 7, 2020, an IED was activated against a Popular Mobilization bulldozer about 200 km north of Baghdad. The passengers were killed or wounded.
  • On November 7, 2020, a vehicle and a bulldozer of the Iraqi police were targeted by sniper fire northwest of Samarra. Two passengers were wounded.
  • On November 4, 2020, a compound of the Iraqi police and the Popular Mobilization was targeted by machine gun fire about 20 km southeast of Samarra. Two fighters or policemen were killed.
  • On November 3, 2020, an Iraqi police compound was targeted by machine gun fire about 60 km north of Baghdad. When an Iraqi force of the counterterrorism unit arrived at the scene, it was also targeted by machine gun fire. One fighter was killed and another was wounded.
Nineveh Province
  • On November 6, 2020, an IED was activated against a vehicle of the Iraqi National Security Apparatus in the Nineveh plain. Two passengers were wounded.
Kirkuk Province
  • On November 9, 2020, an IED was activated against Popular Mobilization forces 160 km northeast of Baghdad. Two fighters were killed and seven others were wounded.
Equipment and weapons of one of the Popular Mobilization fighters who was hit by the IED (Telegram, November 9, 2020)
Equipment and weapons of one of the Popular Mobilization fighters who was hit by the IED (Telegram, November 9, 2020)
Counterterrorism activities by the Iraqi security forces
Al-Anbar Province
  • On November 5, 2020, an Iraqi army ground force operating in collaboration with Iraqi Military Intelligence located an ISIS hiding place and a weapons depot in the Al-Karma area, about 30 km northwest of Baghdad. The weapons depot contained IEDs and tripwires to activate IEDs (Facebook page of the Iraqi Defense Ministry, November 5, 2020). Another force which operated in the area located a weapons depot which contained hundreds of IEDs stored in receptacles, dozens of IEDs of various types, and rockets (Facebook page of the Iraqi Defense Ministry, November 5, 2020).
  • Another force, comprising Iraqi Military Intelligence teams and an Iraqi army ground force, located a weapons depot in the Ramadi area (about 90 km west of Baghdad). The weapons depot contained IEDs, tripwires to activate IEDs, and shells (Facebook page of the Iraqi Defense Ministry, November 5, 2020).
 ISIS IEDs and tripwires located in the Al-Karma area (Facebook page of the Iraqi Defense Ministry, November 5, 2020)  ISIS’s IEDs, tripwires and shells located in the Ramadi area.
Right: ISIS’s IEDs, tripwires and shells located in the Ramadi area. Left: ISIS IEDs and tripwires located in the Al-Karma area (Facebook page of the Iraqi Defense Ministry, November 5, 2020)
  • On November 2, 2020, a force of the counterterrorism unit captured three terrorist operatives (implicitly, ISIS operatives) in the city of Ramadi, about 90 km west of Baghdad. Based on information obtained from one of the operatives, a commander in the organization was captured (Al-Sumaria, November 5, 2020).
Kirkuk Province
  • On November 5, 2020, an Iraqi military force operating in collaboration with the Iraqi Military Intelligence located an ISIS weapons depot about 30 km south of Kirkuk. The weapons depot contained IEDs and explosives (Facebook page of the Iraqi Defense Ministry, November 5, 2020).
ISIS’s IEDs located south of Kirkuk (Facebook page of the Iraqi Defense Ministry, November 7, 2020)
ISIS’s IEDs located south of Kirkuk
(Facebook page of the Iraqi Defense Ministry, November 7, 2020)
Nineveh Province
  • On November 7, 2020, an Iraqi army force located ISIS IEDs in the Tal Afar region, about 60 km west of Mosul. The IEDs were detonated in a controlled manner (Facebook page of the Iraqi Ministry of Defense, November 7, 2020).
  • On November 5, 2020, an Iraqi army force that operated for eight days cleared three ISIS minefields east of Tal Afar (about 60 km west of Mosul). During the operation, hundreds of IEDs weighing 40 kg each were neutralized (Facebook page of the Iraqi Ministry of Defense, November 5, 2020).
Diyala Province
  • On November 5, 2020, Iraqi security forces apprehended six wanted ISIS operatives, former members of an ISIS squad. They were caught about 20 km southwest of Baqubah (Al-Sumaria, November 5, 2020).
The city of Baghdad
  • On November 5, 2020, Iraqi Military Intelligence and ground forces apprehended a “terrorist operative” (implicitly, an ISIS operative) hiding in the Al-Dura area in south Baghdad (Al-Sumaria, November 5, 2020).
The Sinai Pen

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : ONLY GERMANY IS STRICTLY LOYAL TO  RED CHINA

 

Top of the Agenda  12 Nov 2020 –
Hong Kong’s Pro-democracy Lawmakers Resign
Pro-democracy lawmakers in Hong Kong are resigning in protest (AP) after four of their colleagues were disqualified from serving by a new law imposed by Beijing.

China’s top legislative body passed a measure (Guardian) yesterday barring people from serving on Hong Kong’s Legislative Council if they support independence for the region, refuse to recognize Beijing’s sovereignty, seek help from foreign countries to “interfere” in regional affairs, or otherwise “endanger national security.” Four pro-democracy lawmakers were immediately disqualified by the law, which was denounced by Western countries, including the United States. The fifteen remaining members of the group said they would resign en masse today. China’s office in Hong Kong condemned their resignations (BBC) as an “open challenge” to Beijing’s authority.

 

Analysis
“Today’s events take the veil off the charade for all to see. [China’s Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress] is increasingly exercising direct ‘comprehensive control’ over Hong Kong,” tweets CFR’s Jerome A. Cohen.

“The major message is that after today, they don’t want to provide room of survival for even moderate democrats,” the Chinese University of Hong Kong’s Ivan Choy tells the Guardian.

This CFR Backgrounder looks at democracy in Hong Kong.

 

MESOPOTAMIA NEWS INTEL BY MEIR AMIT CENTER / ISRAEL – The Intelligence Organization of the IRGC: A Major Iranian Intelligence Apparatus

Dr. Raz Zimmt –  Main Argument

The Intelligence Organization of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) has become a major intelligence apparatus of the Islamic Republic, having increased its influence and broadened its authorities. Iran’s intelligence apparatus, similar to other control and governance apparatuses in the Islamic Republic, is characterized by power plays, rivalries and redundancy. The Intelligence Organization of the IRGC, which answers to the supreme leader, operates alongside the Ministry of Intelligence, which was established in 1984 and answers to the president. The redundancy and overlap in the authorities of the Ministry of Intelligence and the IRGC’s Intelligence Organization have created disagreements and competition over prestige between the two bodies. In recent years, senior regime officials and officials within the two organizations have attempted to downplay the extent of disagreements between the organizations, and strove to present to domestic and foreign audience a visage of unity.

The IRGC’s Intelligence Organization (ILNA, July 16, 2020)

The IRGC’s Intelligence Organization (ILNA, July 16, 2020)

  • The IRGC’s Intelligence Organization, in its current form, was established in 2009. The Organization’s origin is in the Intelligence Unit of the IRGC, established shortly after the Islamic Revolution (1979). The Unit underwent several organizational and structural changes, culminating in the establishment of the Intelligence Organization. Since the late 1980s, and even more so in the late 1990s and in the first decade of the 21st century, the intelligence organ of the IRGC has gained power at the expense of the Ministry of Intelligence. The causes for the rise in the power of the IRGC’s intelligence include the blow suffered by the Ministry of Intelligence after the exposure of its involvement in the “chain murders” of Iranian intellectuals; the power struggles between the supreme leader and presidents Muhammad Khatami and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, which reinforced the desire of the supreme leader to bolster the intelligence organ of the IRGC, as it is not subject to oversight of the government and the legislative branch; the 2009 Green Movement protests, which demonstrated the need for improved control of the top echelon of the regime, led by the supreme leader, over the means of repression; the waves of protests that erupted in recent years due to the intensifying economic crisis; and growing tensions between Iran and the United States and its allies since the withdrawal of the United States under the leadership of President Trump from the nuclear accord (JCPOA). The upgrade in the status of the Intelligence Organization and the expansion of its authorities is part of a general trend of the rise of the IRGC, which currently plays a significant role in Iran’s political system and economy.
  • Starting in 2009, after the Intelligence Branch of the IRGC was upgraded to an Organization, Iranian cleric Hossein Taeb, who is considered to be a close adviser to Khamenei, has headed the Organization. Taeb joined the IRGC in the early 1980s, served for about a decade in the Intelligence Ministry, and in the late 1990s, returned to the IRGC. In 2008, he was appointed as the commander of the Basij arm of the IRGC, and played a central role in repressing the 2009 protests. Shortly after the quashing of the protest movement, he was appointed as the leader of the Intelligence Organization. He holds hardline and hawkish views, which reflect the official line dictated by the supreme leader of Iran.
 Hossein Taeb (Tabnak, January 27, 2020)
Hossein Taeb (Tabnak, January 27, 2020)
  • Similarly to the decentralized modus operandi of the IRGC over the past decade, the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC operates through intelligence centers operating across Iran’s 31 provinces. Based on partial and sporadic information about the structure of the organization, it appears that it is comprised of a number of thematic departments, in line with the tasks assigned to the Organization.

Some of the central tasks of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC are: foiling terror attacks, thwarting political subversion, actively participating in repression of protests and riots, combating “Western cultural penetration” and morality violations, monitoring and enforcement in the virtual sphere, countering ethnic separatism and “religious deviance,” preventing grave crimes and smuggling, and tackling economic corruption. In recent years, additional missions were assigned to the Organization, which were previously under the sole purview of the Intelligence Ministry, such as: capturing regime opponents abroad, arresting tourists and dual-nationality Iranians for the purpose of prisoner swap deals with Western countries, or for advancing various economic interests. In addition, the Organization’s involvement in repressing regime opponents and critics at home has been expanded.

  • According to a number of unverified reports, the cyber arm of the IRGC also operates under the Intelligence Organization. The Cyber Defense Command of the IRGC was established over the past decade to protect local information systems from cyber attacks; monitor organized crime, terrorism and cyber intelligence collection; thwart attacks on the values of the Islamic Revolution; and increase the security of user of cyber systems.
  • The expanding roles and growing clout of the Organizations have resulted in increased public and political criticism of the Organization, which includes accusations of abuse of its authorities, as well as involvement in corruption and financial irregularities. Despite this criticism, not only has the standing of the Organization not been diminished, but it appears that the regime is determined to bolster the Organization’s standing even further, as the challenges the regime faces mount at home and abroad.
The Structure of the Report
  • This report contains the following chapters:
    • Introduction
    • Central Milestones in the Evolution of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC
    • The Relationship between the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC with the Ministry of Intelligence
    • The Head of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC, Hossein Taeb
    • Estimated Structure of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC
    • Responsibilities of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC:
      • Combating Terrorism
      • Foiling Political Subversion
      • Repression of Protests and Riots
      • Kidnapping Regime Opponents Abroad
      • Arrests of Tourists and Dual Nationals
      • Combating “Western Cultural Penetration” and Preserving Morals in Physical and Virtual Spaces
      • Combating Ethnic Separatism
      • Combating Manifestations of “Religious Deviance”
      • Preventing Grave Crimes
      • Foiling Smuggling
      • Combating Economic Corruption
      • The Fight against COVID-19
    • Accusations of the Organization of Involvement in Corruption and Irregularities
Methodological Notes
  • This is the first extensive report to be written on the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC. Over the past decade, a handful of articles have been written about the Iranian intelligence community, which provide a partial and limited description of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC. Among the most prominent of these studies is an extensive study of the Iranian Intelligence Ministry, published in December 2012, by the American Congressional Research Service “Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence and Security: A Profile;” an article by Carl Anthony Wege, titled “Iran’s Intelligence Establishment” published in the summer of 2015; and the article by Udit Banerjea titled “Revolutionary Intelligence: The Expanding Intelligence Role of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps,” published in the fall of 2015.
  • In addition, a number of studies published in recent years dealt extensively with the activities of the IRGC. The research produced by Ali Alfoneh, Afshon Ostovar and Saeid Golkar are worth noting, as well as a 2009 report published by RAND Corporation. However, those studies too, which described the various aspects of the IRGC’s activities at length, rarely discussed the work of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC.
  • For the purpose of writing this report, I relied on the above-mentioned studies, in addition to two other types of sources:
    • Occasional reports, published in recent years on Iranian news websites, websites affiliated with Iran’s exiled opposition, and websites of leading Western media outlets in Persian, and particularly BBC Persian.
    • Many dozens of reports published in Iranian media about the activities in various spheres of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC.
  • Naturally, the publicly available information about the activities of one of the most secretive organizations in Iran is non-systematic and the extent of its veracity is often unclear. This applies to reports published by the Iranian regime, which are often intended to glorify the capabilities of the organization. Reports published by the Iranian opposition, on the other hand, often include false information intended to tarnish the image of the Iranian regime. More so, the extent to which the information published about the Intelligence Organization is up-to-date is also unclear, due to the structural changes that the Organization has undergone over the years. Due to the secretive nature of the organization, some of the reports about it (particularly in the West) contain factual errors. The challenge of lack of reliable, up-to-date information is particularly acute when it comes to describing the structure of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC. Despite these limitations, it is possible, based on the available information, to describe the main spheres of activity of the Intelligence Organization, its position within Iran’s intelligence community, and the major trends in its evolution over the years.
Introduction

The Intelligence Organization of the IRGC (سازمان اطلاعات سپاه پاسداران) has become a major intelligence agency of the Islamic Republic over the past decade, increasing its influence and holding broad authorities.

  • The Iranian system of rule involves multiple bodies who are tasked with overlapping responsibilities. This institutional redundancy is a prominent characteristic of the Iranian regime, which allows the supreme leader, who holds most executive authorities, to encourage competition between the various power centers that have overlapping authorities, thus preventing the concentration of power in any one of them. One such example is the overlap of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the adviser on international affairs to the supreme leader, the Supreme National Security Council, the Strategic Council on Foreign Policy, and the Qods Force of the IRGC, all of them institutions involved in developing and executing Iran’s foreign policy. Iran’s intelligence apparatus is also characterized by power struggles, particularly between the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC, which answers to the Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, and the Ministry of Intelligence (وزارت اطلاعات), which answers to the president (although the appointment of the minister of intelligence by the president is subject to the approval of the supreme leader).

The logos of the Ministry of Intelligence (right) and IRGC (left)

The logos of the Ministry of Intelligence (right) and IRGC (left)

  • In October 2014, the Fars News Agency, which is affiliated with the IRGC, described 16 governmental bodies (some of which were established over the past two decades) involved in intelligence activities. According to the report, the coordination between the intelligence agencies is vested in the Council for Intelligence Coordination (Fars, October 14, 2014). According to the 1983 law that established the Ministry of Intelligence, the Council for Intelligence Coordination initially included nine members: the minister of intelligence, the attorney general, the minister of interior or his representative, the head of the intelligence security unit of the IRGC, the head of the Intelligence Unit of the IRGC, the head of the Intelligence Security Unit of the Iranian Armed Forces, the minister of foreign affairs or his representative, and the head of the Intelligence Security Unit at the Internal Security Forces. The Council is responsible for holding meetings and exchanging ideas concerning intelligence missions and related issues, exchanging information about methods for carrying out intelligence missions of the various intelligence community members, assigning responsibilities to each of the bodies, coordinating issues common to all the bodies with the Supreme National Security Council, examining suggestions of the Armed Forces regarding intelligence matters for the purpose of transferring the suggestions to the legislative branch, setting criteria for the work of intelligence agencies, and establishing an intelligence “war rooms” for managing crises and emergency situations. The Ministry of Intelligence was determined to be the central intelligence body charged with setting goals, missions and the strategy of the various intelligence agencies (the website of the Ministry of Intelligence, October 18, 2014).
  • The work of the council was evident, as an example, in the February 2010 operation to capture Abdolmalek Rigi, the leader of the Sunni-Balochi seperatist organization, Jundollah, when the plane he boarded in the UAE, en route to Kyrgyzstan, was forced to land by Iranian authorities. This operation required the coordination between the various intelligence agencies, the armed forces including the IRGC, the Ministry of Intelligence and the Air Force of the Armed Forces (Tasnim, September 21, 2018).
The arrest of Abdolmalek Rigi, the Commander of the Jundollah organization (YJC, August 6, 2020)
The arrest of Abdolmalek Rigi, the Commander of the Jundollah organization
(YJC, August 6, 2020)
  • The Intelligence Organization of the IRGC works in parallel to the Intelligence Protection Organization (سازمان حفاظت اطلاعات سپاه). This organization, established in 1983, also underwent structural changes, similarly to the Intelligence Organization. The Intelligence Protection Organization y works to prevent spying within the IRGC, penetration of the ranks of the organization, and leaking of secret information outside of Iran. The Intelligence Protection Organization is also tasked with protecting senior officials, diplomats, sensitive sites, flights and airports. This Organization is also tasked with political and security monitoring of IRGC members and ensuring their safety. The Organization is currently headed by Mohammad Kazemi, who rarely appears in the media (IranWire.com, April 9, 2019).
Mohammad Kazemi, the Head of the Intelligence Protection Organization of the IRGC (Fars, January 29, 2017)
Mohammad Kazemi, the Head of the Intelligence Protection Organization of the IRGC
(Fars, January 29, 2017)
  • As part of the structural changes carried out within the IRGC in 2009, three units within the Intelligence Protection Organization were merged: the Air Security Unit, tasked with securing planes and airports; the Ansar al-Mahdi Corps , tasked with protecting senior regime officials, except the supreme leader; and the Vali Amr Corps , tasked with the protection of the supreme leader. According to a number of reports, the Vali Amr Corps operates independently, and does now answer to the Organization of Intelligence Protection y (BBC Persian, December 28, 2016).
Central Milestones in the Evolution of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC
  • Following the Islamic Revolution (1979) and the dismantling of the National Organization for Security and Intelligence (SAVAK), the IRGC was tasked with the collection of intelligence. During this period, the organization focused on collecting intelligence for the benefit of the persecution campaign the regime led against its political opponents, including Mojahedin-e Khalgh, and the Communist Party (Tudeh). The employees of the Intelligence Unit of the IRGC were recruited among the revolutionary youth, and were overseen by directors with experience in clandestine activity against the monarchy (Shahrvand.com, December 8, 2016). At first, the unit operated under the name The Unit of Intelligence and Investigations, and was involved in the recruitment into the ranks of the IRGC and identifying and repressing anti-revolutionary activities. Later, the name was changed to the Intelligence Bureau, and its intelligence and security authorities were expanded (IranWire.com, April 9, 2019).
  • Following the outbreak of the Iran-Iraq War (September 1980), and the entry of the IRGC into the battlefield, the organization diverted most of its intelligence resources to the war effort. As a result, the need arose to consolidate the non-war-related intelligence and security activities in the hands of a different body. In 1984, the Ministry of Intelligence was established, and became the central actor in collection of intelligence and thwarting activities against state security. Upon its establishment, most of the resources of the Intelligence Unit of the IRGC were transferred to the new ministry, and the IRGC’s Intelligence Unit became a more operational-tactical one, focusing mostly on gathering military intelligence in support of the war effort (Shahrvand.com, December 8, 2016).
  • The involvement of the IRGC in non-military-related security and intelligence mission was resumed after the war (1988). Starting in the late 1980s, the IRGC required intelligence support for operations of the Qods Force, which was established at the end of the war with Iraq, and in assassination operations of Iranian opposition activists abroad, particularly during the 1990s (Shahrvand.com, December 8, 2016). In light of the transformations in its mission, the IRGC’s intelligence unit came to operate under the name The Intelligence Branch of the General Staff of the IRGC (Mashregh News, May 18, 2019).The Branch enjoyed this growth in prestige and authorities owing to the blow suffered by the Ministry of Intelligence after the exposure of its involvement in the “chain killings” of Iranian intellectuals in the 1990s. This involvement led to the resignation of the Minister of Intelligence Ghorbanali Dorri Najafabadi in 2000, and the purging of the Ministry of “rogue ” The subordination of the Ministry of Intelligence to the reformist president at the time, Mohammad Khatami, increased the resolve of the Supreme Leader Khamenei to bolster the Intelligence Branch of the IRGC, which is not subject to the oversight of the government and legislative branch (Majlis), and assign additional tasks to it, the most important of them, repressing regime opponents (Shahrvand.com, December 8, 2016).
  • In October 2009, the Intelligence Branch was upgraded to the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC, after it had been merged with a number of other intelligence units within the IRGC. Hossein Taeb, who previously served as the commander of the Basij branch of the IRGC, was appointed to head the Organization. The Organization cohered against the backdrop of the protests, which erupted in the summer of 2009 across Iran (the Green Movement), due to the perceived falsification of the presidential elections in June 2009 to the disadvantage of the reformist opposition. The establishment of the Intelligence Organization awarded the supreme leader and the Iranian leadership with a greater ability to control the means of repression and surveillance, which are not subordinate to the government.
  • The diminution of the Ministry of Intelligence was accelerated following the political crisis that erupted between President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the Supreme Leader Khamenei. In April 2011, the president announced that he will accept the resignation of the Minister of Intelligence, Hayder Moslehi. Shortly afterwards, Khamanei issued an extraordinary statement, in which he expressed support for the minister of intelligence, and ordered him to assume his position again. The disagreements between the president and the supreme leader quickly turned into a major political crisis within the leadership of the regime and further reinforced Khamenei’s desire to bolster the standing of the IRGC, which is directly subordinate to him.
  • In May 2019, the Intelligence Organization was merged with the Strategic Intelligence Branch of the IRGC. Hossein Taeb remained at the helm of the Organization. Hossein Mohaqeq, who previously served as the head of the Branch for Strategic Intelligence, was appointed as Taeb’s deputy, replacing Hossein Nejat, who served as the deputy head of the Organization since December 2016. Nejat was appointed as the head of the Branch on Cultural and Societal Affairs within the IRGC (Tasnim, May 18, 2019; DW, May 18, 2019). During the ceremony marking the new appointments, the Commander of the IRGC, Hossein Salami, declared that Iran is waging a total intelligence war with the United States and the “front of the enemies of the revolution and the Islamic Republic.” This total war includes psychological warfare, cyber operations, military operations and public diplomacy. He asserted that it is possible to defeat the enemy in this war. He remarked that the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC is tasked with identifying the threats facing Iran, and not neglect for a single moment the analysis of the strategy of the United States. Salami added that the Intelligence Organization will now place a particular emphasis on the United States and will expand its activities abroad as well (Tasnim, May 18, 2019).
The commander of the IRGC (left) alongside Hassan Mohaqeq, the Deputy Head of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC (Tasnim, May 18, 2019)
  • The organizational changes in the IRGC’s intelligence took place against the backdrop of the intensifying conflict between Iran and the United States due to the May 2018 decision of President Donald Trump to withdraw from the nuclear accord (JCPOA) and adopt the “maximum pressure” strategy against Iran. In addition, the structural changes occurred after the announcement of the United States to add the IRGC to the list of designated foreign terrorist organizations of the U.S. State Department starting April 15, 2019. The growing standing of Taeb at the helm of the upgraded Organization is seen as another indication for the determination of the regime to enhance the response to the growing challenges at home and abroad, and intensify internal repression due to concerns about the resumption of popular protests in response to the worsening economic crisis. Following the merger of the Intelligence Organization with the Branch of Strategic Intelligence, the newspaper Jahan assessed that the structural changes are intended to boost the capacities of the IRGC and its ability to operate in the total intelligence campaign against the United States, and to provide a better response to the threats originating in “hostile intelligence agencies” and the “regional and supra-regional intelligence networks” operated by them (Jahan News, May 19, 2019).
  • In November 2019, the Deputy Commander of the IRGC, Ali Fadavi, addressed the expansion of the missions of the Intelligence Organization in light of the protests across the country and escalating tensions between Iran and the United State and its allies. Fadavi accused the United States, France, Britain, Germany and Saudi Arabia of being involved in the protest that erupted across Iran in November 2019 (“the fuel protests”), and remarked that the intelligence of the IRGC is responsible for carrying out tasks on behalf of the IRGC, and is serving as the law enforcement arm of the Judiciary (Mashregh News, November 24, 2019).
  • The upgrade in the standing of the Intelligence Organization of the IRGC and expansion of its missions should be seen as part of an overall trend of increasing clout of the IRGC, which currently plays a significant role in Iran’s political system and economy. The appointment of Mohammad-Ali Jafari as the Commander of the IRGC in 2007 marked an important step in increasing the involvement of the organization in politics. In a speech Jaafari made in September 2007, he stressed that the IRGC is not a uni-dimensional military organization, and that its goal is to preserve the Revolution and its accomplishments against enemies as home. Jaafari defined the IRGC as an organization that is not “purely military” but also “political and ideological” (Hamshahri, September 29, 2007).

« neuere Artikel / next articles   ältere Artikel / previous articles »