MESOP NEWS DISCUSSION BY KIRK H. SOWELL & OTHERS: WILL BARZANI GO ? IS BARZANI LIKE SADDAM ? (30. Sept 2017)
Kirk H. Sowell – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk – Kirk H. Sowell Retweeted Fîlî Fengenos
It is not an embargo. This measure means that customs revenue will go into the federal treasury, as the budget law requires.
Kirk H. Sowell added, – Especially if he went through with the plan to takeover the borders from (outside) the region and thus implementing an embargo on the people
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk – Also: parl’t vote demanded the referendum be “voided.” Abadi is simply refusing to negotiate based on the referendum, not refusing to talk.
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk Kirk H. Sowell Retweeted KaraMurat
While it is hard to see Barzani going, Abadi’s strong attacks on Barzani pesonally will make reconciliation hard.
KaraMurat @FatihinFKM – Replying to @UticaRisk
What will happen to Barzani? If he falls who might replace him?
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk Replying to @UticaRisk
So lots of “sovereignty through the power of the constitution & law” rhetoric, ardent attacks on Barzani, tangible steps fairly moderate.
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk – Replying to @UticaRisk
Overall, Abadi has put on a strong performance while holding back the push for military action. He may weather the storm after all.
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk – Replying to @UticaRisk
Abadi emphasizes the need to avoid undue suffering by Kurdish citizens – “we share the same loaf of bread” – so measures are narrowly drawn.
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk 1Replying to @UticaRisk
Since a real legal investigation would also implicate Turkish officials, hard to see this, but the personal threat to Barzani matters.
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk Two days in a row Abadi emphasizes corrupt nature of the KRG’s oil export system, essentially calls for prosecution of the Barzani family.
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk With many MPs calling & voting for military action to retake disputed areas, Abadi uses tough language but make clear, no war on Kurds.
Kirk H. Sowell @UticaRisk – Replying to @UticaRisk
Abadi before parliament two days ago. He starts speaking at minute 24.
Replying to @UticaRisk – Abadi talks about specific measures to restore sovereignty, Barzani is an “illegitimate president,” compares Barzani’s rule to Saddam.