MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : “NO PEACE!” – ISRAEL’S ANNEXATION DEAL – “In fact, with his recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over the Western Sahara territory, President Trump may provoke an armed reaction by the Polisario front in Western Sahara, and by its supporter, the Algerian state”

Experts react: What the Morocco-Israel deal means for the Middle East – MENASource by Atlantic Council –

 Related Experts: Karim Mezran, Nabeel Khoury, Carmiel Arbit, Shalom Lipner, Sina Azodi, Borzou Daragahi, Mark N. Katz, Jonathan H. Ferziger

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MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : Iraq’s Economic Collapse Could Be Biden’s First Foreign-Policy Headache

If the Iraqi government fails to pay state workers’ salaries in January, it could lead to widespread instability and violence. The United States and the international community must shore up Baghdad’s finances before it’s too late.

BY FARHAD ALAALDIN, KENNETH M. POLLACK  | DECEMBER 14, 2020, 12:25 PM FOREIGN POLIY

 

This article is part of The Biden Transition, Foreign Policy’s ongoing coverage of how U.S. President-elect Joe Biden builds a new White House administration—and what the new team’s policies might be.

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  MESOPOTAMIA NES : TRUMP’S LAST ORDERS IRAN !

U.S. SHOW OF FORCE IN THE GULF INTENDED TO SEND MESSAGE TO IRAN – 15 Dec 2020

Bottom Line Up Front:  •Two recent overflights of the Persian Gulf by U.S. B-52 heavy bombers were intended to reinforce deterrence against Iran.

  • The show of force is an alternative to striking Iran’s nuclear facilities, which Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly urged President Trump to consider.
  • Iran is unlikely to respond immediately to any U.S. or Israeli action as it awaits the inauguration of the Biden administration.

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MESOPOTAMIA NEWS DOCUS : WHO IST WHO IN SYRIA !

The Syria Report is publishing the full lists of the executive councils of Syria’s governorates and of their capital cities. In total, some 1,763 persons sit on these councils.

The lists for the governorates’ councils can be read here. Those of their capital cities can be found here.

These two documents are part of The Syria Report’s extended library comprising almost 900 pages, including:

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MESOPOTAMIA NEWS KURDISTAN IRAQ : FORMER CIA-OFFICER MICHAEL RUBIN CONTRA MASROUR BARZANI

Why Masrour Barzani should resign from leading Iraqi Kurdistan

Why Masrour Barzani should resign from leading Iraqi Kurdistan

Masrour Barzani, the prime minister of Iraqi Kurdistan, 2020. Photo: Reuters

Michael Rubin | The National Interest

Kurds once billed themselves “The Other Iraq,” a region where democracy and security thrived, but today Iraqi Kurdistan is on fire. Security forces gun down protestors, Kurdish civilians return the favor, and protestors burn political party flags and even photos of Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) founder Mulla Mustafa Barzani.

Iraqi Kurdistan as the other Iraq was always a lie: The region was a fiefdom for two ruling families—the Barzanis and Talabanis—who, in practice, stood above the law. While Iraqis unseated incumbents in Baghdad, Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) Massoud Barzani—until eighteen months ago, the president of the region, long sought to sidestep term limits simply by extending the duration of his final term. Security was also tenuous, based less on the competence of the Parastin, the KDP’s security agency long run by Barzani’s eldest son Masrour, than by the KDP’s ability to channel resources, especially the region’s oil wealth, into a pyramid scheme of corruption. Simply put, the Barzanis had few friends whom they did not pay.

Kurds are now in open rebellion. Massoud passed the reins of power to his son Masrour less because of Masrour’s competence and more because he was the eldest son. While reported violence has been greater so far in Sulaimani, this is less because grievances are greater on the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) side of Iraqi Kurdistan—they are more or less the same—and more because Sulaimani has a greater tradition of protest and a leadership which tolerates it a bit more. In Erbil and portions of Kurdistan over which the Barzanis maintain dictatorial control, military equipment donated by the West in order to fight the Islamic State but never used for that purpose is now deployed against the civilian population.

The real problem, however, remains Masrour’s decision-making. While he blames his predecessor, his cousin, and now-president Nechirvan Barzani for the dire situation in Erbil, Nechirvan’s government was always more competent, even amidst financial various financial crises. When Masrour took over, he sought not competence, but blind loyalty. As such, he effective created a Parastin government, transporting long-term Parastin officials into political positions. There, their main job appeared insuring loyalty to Masrour and his business interests rather than working toward the development and prosperity of Kurdistan.

Rebar Ahmed, Saman Hussein Muhammad and Alan Hama Saeed Salih

From left: Rebar Ahmed, Saman Hussein Muhammad and Alan Hama Saeed Salih. Photo: KRG

Consider, for example, Minister of Interior Rebar Ahmed. He was, for seven years, an active member of the Parastin and, prior to that, worked several additional years in partnership with it. In his current role, he overseas the police forces and deploys them first and foremost against anyone deemed anti-Barzani rather than those who actually contravene the law or commit crimes.

Then, there is Minister of Health Saman Hussein Muhammad (Saman Barzinji). He controls all hospitals, both public and private, and controls the distribution of medical supplies. I had already reported on a maneuver pursued under his watch (and with the assistance of Nechirvan’s son Idris) to transform a charity hospital into a private, for profit clinic. During the coronavirus crisis, Kurds report that he has almost exclusively awarded medical supply contracts at very high prices to companies belonging to the Parastin through Parastin businessmen. The net result has been a windfall profit for the Parastin’s inner-circle at the expense of the health and welfare of ordinary Kurds.

The Parastin has long considered Alan Hama Saeed Salih, whom Masrour appointed to be minister of Education, to be a trusted ally. While a resident of Sulaimani, he worked as a KDP operative, at a time when the local KDP branches were best known for firing live ammunition at protestors. While the minister was an unaccomplished academic, Masrour apparently seeks to utilize Alan to implement a curriculum to brainwash a younger generation into loyalty to the KDP and its narrative. This, of course, is unrealistic—in an age of social media and with so many Kurdish family members living abroad and reporting on the reality of the situation from afar, it is impossible to so shape the new generation—but the fact that Masrour and Alan try simply illustrates the bubble of fantasy and ambition in which Masrour has shrouded himself.

Masrour has likewise used Pshtiwan Sadq Abdullah, the minister of religious endowments [Awqaf] and affairs, in order to control religious opposition to the rein of corruption. Pshtiwan is a former KDP politburo member and, according to residents of his hometown of Erbil, also a high-ranking Parastin.

From left: Pshtiwan Sadq Abdullah, Sasan Othman Awni, Umed Sabah Othman

From left: Pshtiwan Sadq Abdullah, Sasan Othman Awni, Umed Sabah Othman. Photo: KRG

The minister of Municipalities, Sasan Othman Awni, comes from a similar pedigree; between 2005 and 2009, he was the director of the Parastin, even if Masrour was in reality in charge. He is among Masrour’s most trusted security service allies and today to utilize his position to oversee the distribution of Kurdistan Regional Government lands to Masrour, his financial agents, and his allies in order to enable Masrour and the Parastin to profit from their development and sale at a time when Masrour’s government defaults on salaries for most civil service employees.

Kurds also report that the top credential of Umed Sabah Othman, the president of the Diwan of the Council of Ministers (basically, Masrour’s chief-of-staff) is to ensure opacity over Masrour’s political and financial dealings at a time when shortages make the need for transparency even more important. Mohammed Shukhri, the head of the Kurdistan Regional Government’s Board of Investment, is also firmly ensconced in Masrour’s Parastin inner-circle, as he blurs the lines between government, party, and personal holdings, and channels most investment if not to Masrour himself than to the Parastin and its commercial interests.

Masrour may value Parastin service, but he should not confuse the loyalty close aides showed him with competence. The basic problem with Masrour’s government is not what proceeded it, but rather corruption and incompetence. Customs and property taxes have increased in some cases up to 300 percent. Kurds recognize they pay higher rates than Switzerland while Masrour delivers the services of Somalia. Put another way, Erbil has become a city of first world restaurants and third world hospitals.

That Kurdistan is on fire should not surprise Masrour. He may believe that brute force may smother the flames, but he should be under no illusion that he cannot extinguish the embers, for they exist not because of freedom but rather because of endemic corruption and exasperation at growing mismanagement. Kurds deserve democracy; the human capital of the region is truly amazing and is constrained only by the existing party apparatus but, realistically, the Barzanis have no interest in pursuing democracy because it would mean the end of their power. They may face that eventually, however, if they believe the status quo is tenable.

If former president and tribal chief Massoud truly wants his party and experiment to survive, he should recognize that it is time to retire or demote his eldest son and perhaps return the reins of power, at least on a provisional basis, to nephew Nechirvan. Nechirvan may have, like his cousin Masrour, tolerated corruption and participated in personal enrichment schemes, but unlike Masrour, Nechirvan both recognized that to win respect he could simply not rely on fear and also that there could be no peace without service to constituents. For the sake of all Kurds and the honor of the Barzani family, it is time for Masrour to resign.

Michael Rubin is a former Pentagon official whose major research areas are the Middle East, Turkey, Iran and diplomacy. He is author of “Dancing with the Devil: The Perils of Engaging Rogue Regimes” (Encounter, 2014). He is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute AEI. His major research area is the Middle East, with special focus on Iran, Iraq, Turkey, and Kurdish society. Read more by Michael Rubin.

The article first published at Nationalintrest.org

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MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : THE MEDIA IN IN KURDISTAN  IRAQ  / COVERAGE

An interview with KirkukNow Editor-In-Chief – Salam Omer: KirkukNow is a bright example of professional media coverage –

Salam Omer, Editor-In-Chief at KirkukNow, a website that covers the region known as the disputed territories in Iraq in an interview expressed his views in regard to the work of the media in these territories, citing KirkukNow as an example of professionalism in its coverage of the events taking place there.

The media outlet covers developments in the region encompasses Mosul in northern Iraq to oil-rich city of Kirkuk further to the Iranian border of Iraq. This is the region the so-called Islamic State ISIS was most active, many ethnic and religious components live here and have various political loyalty and belong to different groups of people.

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MESOPOTAMIA NEWS DEBATE : REFORM, NOT VIOLENCE, WILL EASE IRAQI KURDISH PROTESTS

by Bilal Wahab PolicyWatch 3407 December 10, 2020

In addition to publicly condemning the violent repression of demonstrations, Washington should urge its Kurdish allies to stop stalling on economic reforms at home and budget negotiations with Baghdad.

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MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : PUTIN ARMS IRAQ / US warns Iraq of sanctions, if it buys Russian military equipment

Iraq warned of sanctions if it purchases Russian military equipment – Laurie mylroie  December 10th 2020   02:12

WASHINGTON DC (Kurdistan 24) – The US has warned Iraq against purchasing Russian military equipment, following the visit late last month of Iraqi Foreign Minister, Fuad Hussein, to Moscow.

Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs, R. Clarke Cooper, speaking to reporters on Tuesday, suggested that if Iraq were to buy Russian military equipment, the US was likely to impose sanctions on the country.

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MESOPOTAMIA NEWS CRIMINAL RECRUITEMENT OF KIDS BY KURDISH PKK

Child recruitment casts shadow over Syrian Kurds’ push for global legitimacy

Failed efforts to secure the return of a recent spate of Kurdish youth recruited to fight in northeast Syria shows the delicate path the region’s autonomous administration must navigate in its relations with the PKK.

Amberin Zaman  Dan Wilkofsky   AL MONITOR  8 Dec 2020

Rawan Aleku, a 16-year-old Syrian Kurdish high school student, has been missing from her hometown of Dirbasiya since Oct 8. In multiple interviews with the local press, her father, Umran, claimed that she was kidnapped by an armed group who then handed the girl to “another group.” He has appealed to Mazlum Kobane, the commander-in-chief of the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the “highest authority” in northeast Syria, “to undertake his humanitarian duty.”

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MESOPOTAMIA NEWS FORECAST : “Israel to take military action on behalf of its new allies even in situations where there is no existential threat to the Jewish State. The Israeli public must internalize the reality of this commitment.”

The Abraham Accords: The Strategic Aspect

ISRAEL –  By Prof. Shmuel SandlerDecember 8, 2020E- BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 1,841, December 8, 2020

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: While the recent peace agreements between Israel and the Gulf principalities are a political achievement of historic significance for Israel’s regional status, the construction of an anti-Iranian front will oblige Israel to take military action on behalf of its new allies even in situations where there is no existential threat to the Jewish State. The Israeli public must internalize the reality of this commitment.

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