Prospects for Syria’s civil war in 2013

Monday, November 26 2012 – An Oxford Analytical Prospect – The civil war will intensify and the regime of President Bashar al-Assad is likely to collapse by the end of 2013.

The stalemate between government and rebel forces is set to break in 2013. The balance of power has begun to tip in the rebels’ favour with their attacks growing, the political opposition forming a new and more effective body, and the government losing control of increasing swathes of territory. However, the regime remains united and is escalating its use of heavy weapons and air power. The manner of its fall will shape the government which follows it, and alter geopolitical alliances in the region.