MESOP ARGUMENTS & ANALYSIS (II) : “Were there irregularities in Turkey’s 2015 elections? We used this new forensic toolkit to check.”


 (Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Allen Hicken, and Ken Kollman, Monkey Cage) THE WASHINGTON POST

“Mapping hot spots shows that higher than average frauds probabilities occur in eastern Turkey. Towns where these signs of frauds occur significantly more often than average are red and significantly less often than average are blue. The high probabilities of AKP-favoring frauds occur not merely in eastern Turkey but in areas where the party that supports Kurdish interests (HDP, Peoples’ Democratic Party) is the dominant party. Many districts have anomalous features. The currently ruling AKP is the party that by most measures benefited from the extensive frauds that we detect, especially in eastern Turkey.” Read all