MESOP MIDEAST WATCH: Bennett wave the white flag on a new Iran deal?

Israel’s preemptive surrender to Washington will also hamstring American critics of a disaster for the West as well as the Middle East. Biden critics in both countries must stop pulling their punches.

 (23,3. 2022 / JEWISH NEWS SYNICATE

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THEO VAN GOGH NEWS:  DOES ISRAEL ARMS NAZIS IN UKRAINE?

Rights Groups Demand Israel Stop Arming neo-Nazis in Ukraine

Human rights activists petition the court to cease Israeli arms exports to Ukraine since some of these weapons reach neo-Nazi elements in Ukraine’s security forces – An Azov militiaman with a Tavor rifle: A group of more than 40 human rights activists have filed a petition with the High Court of Justice, demanding the cessation of Israeli arms exports to Ukraine.

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MESOP MIDEAST WATCH: The War in Ukraine &Strategic Hedging by Arab Countries

The war in Ukraine has accelerated the strategic hedging by Arab states, even at the risk of (temporarily?) harming their relations with the United States. Does this policy overreach its mark, and will the United States ultimately want to settle the score with these states? How does this foreign

 Yoel Guzansky INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY STUDIES- INSS Insight No. 1575, March 21, 2022

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THEO VAN GOGH NEWS: LUPENREINE TERRORISTEN & MÖRER = KATAR!

Qatar has sent hundreds of millions of dollars to terror group – report

Qatar, whose rulers have been accused by Germany’s Development Minister Gerd Mueller of financing the Islamic State terror movement in 2014, is slated to host the 2022 soccer World Cup.

By BENJAMIN WEINTHAL  JERUSALEM POST – JUNE 6, 2021

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THEO VAN GOGH NEU: Dokumentation -Offshore-Geschäfte: Selenskyj + Kolomojskyj in den Pandora-Papers

19.10.2021 / MESOP NEWS – Die Verwicklung des ukrainischen Präsidenten in den neuen Offshore-Skandal.

Am 2. Oktober 2021 informierte das Internationale Netzwerk investigativer Journalisten (ICIJ)

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Russia-Ukraine war recasts Turkish policies and priorities

MESOP MIDEAST WATCH: ERDOGAN’S TURNAROUND WITH ISRAEL

Erdogan: Turkey will leave its mark on 21st century AL MONITOR 19.3.22

“Turkey’s diplomatic isolation was the focus of excited punditry in recent years,” writes Amberin Zaman, “but today, Ankara is running out of red carpet as a deluge of foreign dignitaries knock at its door.”

Recent knockers include NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Israeli President Isaac Herzog, and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis — all as a result of Turkey’s critical role, geographically and diplomatically, in the Russia-Ukraine crisis.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s latest star turn in global and regional diplomacy is connected to both a dire economy, made worse by the Russia-Ukraine war, and elections in June 2023, where he and his ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) will face a more united and determined opposition.

As we wrote here last week, following Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu’s hosting of his Ukrainian and Russian counterparts, Dmytro Kuleba and Sergey Lavrov, in the southern town of Antalya on March 10, Erdogan is playing a tough diplomatic hand about as well as it can be played.

While Turkey is a NATO member, Erdogan has also cultivated a solid working relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin, despite differences over Syria and, especially now, Turkey’s provision of armed drones to Ukraine, which have been instrumental in the conflict against Russian forces.

Erdogan may be hoping that the enhanced profile will redound to his political advantage.

“Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began nearly three weeks ago, there has been a newfound optimism among the AKP ranks,” writes Pinar Tremblay. “No one can deny that the invasion will cost Turkey, as it will lead to revenue losses from tourism to agriculture. However, AKP elites also see this as a God-sent opportunity to sweep the 2023 elections.”

Helping the ‘unfortunate people’ 

Erdogan pledged this week that “unfortunate people” who have sought shelter in Turkey would not be sent back to their war-torn countries, reports Nazlan Ertan, “simultaneously attacking the opposition’s anti-migrant rhetoric and signaling to the Western allies that he would not ‘weaponize’ the refugee issue.”

There are already over 20,000 Ukrainian refuges in Turkey, which hosts one of the largest refugee communities globally, including 4 million Syrians, 193,000 of whom have been granted Turkish citizenship, Ertan reports.

Turnaround in ties with Israel

Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, like Erdogan, has taken on an outsized diplomatic role to try to mediate an end to the Russia-Ukraine war.

In the past, such a contest would have pushed Erdogan to a kind of one-upmanship, given the mostly miserable state of Israel-Turkey ties over the past decade.

Not this time.

“Jerusalem and Ankara are even believed to be coordinating their moves,” regarding Russia-Ukraine mediation, scoops Ben Caspit. “This reversal stems from the major detente in their relationship since last summer, which peaked with the visit March 9 by President Isaac Herzog to Ankara and Istanbul. Erdogan pulled out all the stops in welcoming Herzog, publicly abandoning the comfort zone from which he used Israel as a punching bag whenever the need arose to firm up his political base. Judging by his statements, he is focusing, instead, on his country’s strategic geopolitical interests in light of major regional and international developments. In this arena, Ankara’s positions are far closer to Jerusalem these days than they are to many other capitals.”

Turkey and Israel have appointed a high-level team to “iron out difference,” Caspit reports, although the prospect of Israeli natural gas going through Turkey, which Erdogan would prefer, is unlikely. The current plan is for Israel to work though Egypt for gas exports.

No easy path for gas via Turkey

While the export of Israeli natural gas though Turkey is a long shot at best, Ankara is also exploring other exporters to position Turkey as an energy hub.

The European Union needs an alternative to Russia, on which it depends for 40% of its gas imports.

There has been some speculation that Turkey could be the bridge for an alternative route for Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, and the Iraqi Kurdistan Region to bring gas to Europe, but in  each case, there are more questions than answers, as David Byrne breaks down the options for Turkey and Europe.

It’s the economy … and it’s getting worse

For Erdogan, it’s ultimately all about staying in power, with general elections 15 months away, in June 2023.

Turkey’s economic crisis is his greatest political liability, and it is likely to get worse.

“Economic instability has only grown since Erdogan assumed sweeping executive powers in 2018,” explains Mustafa Sonmez. “Inflation stands out as the gravest problem, having soared to 54.4% in February. The fallout of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has made matters worse, with Turkey’s risk premium surging to the region of 600 basis points. The current account deficit has already reached $20 billion this year and is bound to grow further. The nation’s external debts maturing over the next 12 months total about $174 billion. All those factors could plunge the embattled Turkish lira into a fresh tailspin.”

The current economic crisis will impact the June elections, which in turn will be impacted by a change in the electoral law, which is before the parliament and expected to pass next month.

The amendment “brings a number of significant changes that the government insists will enhance multiparty democracy,” Amberin Zaman writes, “but the bill also says that candidates running on a joint list will need to clear the seven percent threshold even if their alliance wins the overall vote in a given constituency. … Analysts say the latter change is intended to drive a wedge in the existing opposition bloc.”

The bill, which is expected to become law in April, could also blow back on Erdogan’s AKP ruling party, as Pinar Tremblay reports.

“Former AKP lawmaker Mehmet Ocaktan penned a searing piece asking, ‘For whom is the election law trap set?’,” Tremblay writes. “Other conservative pundits expressed skepticism and concern for voter suppression, election rigging and blocking of small conservative parties.”

Decision time in Libya

While Erdogan plays his cards in Europe, Turkey remains heavily invested in the future of Libya, whose fragile political progress is being shaken by  long-standing divisions within the country, and among those states backing the various factions.

Despite appeals from the UN and other parties, Turkey never withdrew its military and aligned militia forces from Libya. Ankara backs the UN-recognized central government in Tripoli; those aligned with the rival parties in the east include the UAE, Russia, and Egypt.

All parties backed the UN mediated process toward elections, which were to have been held in December 2021, but were postponed until June 2022.

“The showdown between Libya’s two rival prime ministers — Fathi Bashagha, appointed by the eastern-based parliament, and Abdul Hamid Dbeibah, the head of the Tripoli-based government who refuses to cede power — is pushing Turkey to play more openly and assertively in the conflict,” writes Fehim Tastekin.

“Though Turkey is wary of provoking clashes at a critical juncture in Libya, the fact remains that its military, intelligence and diplomatic presence in Tripoli affects the equilibrium and makes the playground

 

 

 

 

MESOP MIDEAST WATCH: Israel ‘shouldn’t exist as a Jewish state,’ Amnesty USA director tells Democratic group

Paul O’Brien’s comments follow an Amnesty International report accusing the Jewish state of committing apartheid JEWISH INSIDER  15.3.2022

Following Amnesty International’s recent report that accused Israel of “apartheid” in its treatment of Palestinians, the group’s USA director appeared to go a step further

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MESOP MIDEAST WATCH: Secret CIA training program helping Ukrainians fight Russian troops, sources say

MARCH 18, 2022 BY JOSEPH FITSANAKIS 

A SECRET TRAINING PROGRAM run by the United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), which began shortly after Russia invaded eastern Ukraine in 2014, is now helping the Ukrainians beat back Russian military advances. According to Yahoo News,

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MESOP MIDEAST WATCH :Ukraine’s battle for survival offers multiple lessons for Israel

 

The Jewish state is learning that it “can no longer sit on the fence as the world is increasingly being divided between democracies and autocracies,” said Emmanuel Navon, also an analyst at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security.

BY ISRAEL KASNETT JEWISH NEWS SYNDICATE 16,3. 2022

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MESOP MIDEAST WATCH INTEL: Palestinian reactions to Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s visit to Turkey

Overview

  • On March 9, 2022, as part of the thawing of diplomatic relations between Turkey and Israel, Israeli President Isaac Herzog paid a state visit to Turkey, the first such visit in 14 years. A formal reception was held for him in the presidential palace in Ankara and he met with President Erdogan.
  • The visit and reception were widely covered by the Palestinian media. In the Palestinian Authority (PA) it was thought that a rapprochement between the two countries could help the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians.
  • However, both Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) criticized the visit and reception. Hamas was relatively cautious and said in an announcement that it was “following with concern” the visits of Israeli leaders to Arab and Muslim countries, which were the Palestinian people’s “strategic depth.” Hamas did not use the word “condemn” in its announcement or mention Turkey by name. PIJ spokesmen harshly condemned the visit and called Turkey’s attempt to rebuild relations with Israel “a betrayal of the Palestinians.”
  • Hamas’ response was motivated principally by its many interests in Turkey and the fear, which was not publicly stated, that through ties between Israel and Turkey Hamas could lose its assets. It could also lose the freedom of action its operatives have enjoyed for the past decade, especially since they were exiled to Turkey after the Gilad Shalit prisoner exchange deal, turning it into one of Hamas’ main overseas bases for operations. In recent years Hamas terrorist operatives have lived in Turkey from which they direct terrorist activities in Judea and Samaria. The country also serves as a base for transferring funds to terrorist operatives in Judea and Samaria and to Hamas headquarters in the Gaza Strip.
Palestinian Reactions
The Palestinian Authority (PA)
  • The PA did not particularly relate to the visit. Senior PA figures, and Wafa, its official news agency, did not relate to it at all. The Facebook page of its official newspaper, al-Hayat al-Jadeeda, posted mainly protest demonstrations held in Istanbul during the visit (al-Hayat al-Jadeeda Facebook page, March 9, 2022). The Facebook page of Wafa, which is directly subordinate to Mahmoud Abbas’ office, did not relate to the visit at all.
From al-Hayat al-Jadeeda's Facebook page, March 9, 2022 pictures from President Herzog's visit to Turkey with an emphasis on the mass protest in the center of Istanbul.
From al-Hayat al-Jadeeda‘s Facebook page, March 9, 2022 pictures from President Herzog’s visit to Turkey with an emphasis on the mass protest in the center of Istanbul.
  • The only senior PA figure who did relate was Palestinian foreign minister Riyad al-Maliki. Interviewed by CNN Turk on the sidelines of the Antalya Diplomacy Forum, he said the Palestinians were not worried by a rapprochement between Israel and Turkey. Such an event would serve the interests of the Palestinian cause because it would give Turkey power which at some time in the future could be used at a Palestinian-Israeli negotiating table. He also said that if Turkey offered to mediate between the sides, the Palestinians would accept the offer. He claimed the Turkish foreign minister told him that a development in Israeli-Turkish relations would not come at the expense of the Palestinians (CNN, March 12, 2022).
Palestinian foreign minister Riyad al-Maliki interviewed by CNN Turkey (CNN Turkey website, March 10, 2022).P
alestinian foreign minister Riyad al-Maliki interviewed by CNN Turkey (CNN Turkey website, March 10, 2022).
Hamas
  • Hamas published a statement of concern and sorrow at visits by senior Israeli officials to Arab and Muslim countries (Herzog’s visit to Turkey overlapped that of Chief of Staff General Aviv Kochavi’s to Bahrain and Foreign Minister Yair Lapid’s to Jordan), and expressed objection to the visits. Hamas was careful not to use terms like “condemnation” and did not mention Turkey by name. “Sources” in Hamas’ political bureau were quick to declare that the movement’s relations with Turkey were excellent, as usual. The sources also claimed there were no Hamas “military” operatives in Turkey and that any report to the contrary was a “fabrication.” According to Hamas, only a political legation represented the movement in Turkey (al-Ra’i al-Yawm, March 12, 2022).
  • The Hamas-affiliated al-Risalah and Shehab Twitter accounts gave extensive coverage to the visit and the reception held for President Herzog. They stressed the seriousness of the matter, calling normalization of relations with Israel “treason.” They also gave extensive coverage to the demonstrations held protesting the visit, with pictures of demonstrators holding signs depicting swastikas inside Stars of David, and signs reading “Herzog is a terrorist,” and “Zionist murderer” (al-Risalah Twitter account, March 9, 2022). Pictures were also published of the presidents’ wives at the opening of an exhibition in Ankara (Shehab Twitter account, March 10, 2022).
  • Hamas’ al-Risalah website also published op-ed pieces by Palestinian political commentators who expressed concern over an Israeli-Turkish rapprochement:
  • Salim al-Sharfa condemned President Herzog’s visit to Turkey and the reception held for him. According to al-Sharfa, the visit was a stab in the back of the Palestinians and a continuation of the wave of normalization in relationships between Israel and Arab states. He also accused the PA leadership of its ongoing security coordination with Israel and meetings with senior Israeli officials (alresala.net, March 11, 2022).
  • Amin Barakeh also condemned the visit on the grounds that it was intended to serve the interests of Israel, which wanted to destroy Arab-Muslim states and their culture, and sow seeds of dissension between them [sic]. He claimed that if Turkey thought Israeli investors would pour money into the country, it was living in a world of fantasy (alresala.net, March 12, 2022).
  • Isma’il al-Thawabata, director of the Hamas-affiliated al-Ra’i media network, said a reception held by the president of Turkey for the president of the “Zionist entity” was strange, offensive and incomprehensible, it marked the beginning of the normalization of relations [between the two states], which was treason. He claimed he was certain that millions of Turks objected to the reception. He also quoted a question asked years ago of Ahmed Yassin, Hamas founder and leader in the Gaza Strip: could the Palestinians normalize relations with the enemy in a situation where it would be impossible to “resist” and “struggle” against it. And Yassin said, “No. You can’t marry whore” (Isma’il al-Thawabata’s Twitter account, March 9, 2022).
Right: Formal reception in Ankara held for President Herzog by President Erdogan (Shehab Twitter account, March 9, 2022). Left: Herzog meets with Erdogan, and a quote from the Turkish president which reads, "An improvement in Turkish-Israeli relations is very important for regional stability and peace" (al-Risalah Twitter account, March 9, 2022).
Right: Formal reception in Ankara held for President Herzog by President Erdogan (Shehab Twitter account, March 9, 2022). Left: Herzog meets with Erdogan, and a quote from the Turkish president which reads, “An improvement in Turkish-Israeli relations is very important for regional stability and peace” (al-Risalah Twitter account, March 9, 2022).
 Criticism of President Herzog's visit to Turkey (Shehab Twitter account, March 9, 2022).
Criticism of President Herzog’s visit to Turkey (Shehab Twitter account, March 9, 2022).
The Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ)
  • The PIJ strongly condemned the visit, claiming that the aspiration to repair relations with Israel under the pretext of promoting the interests of any country was a betrayal of Jerusalem and “Palestine.” The organization greatly appreciated the position of the people of Turkey, who rejected the visit and supported the right of the Palestinian people (PIJ Telegram channel, March 9, 2022).
Appendix
The Hamas presence in Turkey[1]
  • Hamas’ need to operate in Turkey to direct terrorist networks and transfer funds arose after the movement’s headquarters left Damascus in the wake of the Syrian Civil War, which began in 2011. Turkey’s fundamental sympathy for Hamas and the easy channels of communication with it were among the reasons Hamas chose to move its activities to the country. After the Gilad Shalit prisoner exchange deal in 2011 and the settling of the deported terrorists in Turkey, Hamas’ activities increased to the point where Turkey became a base of operations.
  • In recent years Hamas military-terrorist operatives have handled terrorist networks in Judea and Samaria from Turkey. The country’s military importance increased in view of Hamas efforts to encourage terrorist attacks in Judea and Samaria, given its policy of restraint in the Gaza Strip. In December 2019 the British daily Telegraph published an exposé of the growth of Hamas terrorism from Turkey (Telegraph, December 18, 2019). The Turkish foreign ministry issued a denial, claiming Hamas was a legitimate organization which had won the elections in the Gaza Strip in 2006,[2] and was recognized by various countries, including Turkey. Therefore, according to the statement, there was nothing to prevent Turkey from having relations with Hamas at various levels. Turkey rejected the accusation that it enabled Hamas to use its territory for activities against Israel or any other country.[3]
  • On October 22, 2020, the London Times published an article revealing that according to Western intelligence services, Hamas maintained covert headquarters in Turkey for cyberwarfare and intelligence operations. According to the article, the headquarters had been established in Istanbul in 2018 and operated separately from Hamas’ official offices, which were also in the city and dealt mainly with coordination and funding. Hamas operatives officially posted to Turkey were not aware of the operations of the secret unit directed, according to the article, by Hamas’ military wing in the Gaza Strip without the knowledge of the Turkish government. The unit was headed by a Hamas operative named Sameh Saraj, who lived in the Gaza Strip, and reported directly to Yahya al-Sinwar, head of the Hamas political bureau in the Gaza Strip. The unit’s main missions were the acquisition of dual-use equipment, which could be used to manufacture weapons; cyber activity coordination; coordination activity against those in the Arab world who oppose Hamas and monitoring and overseeing the loyalty of Hamas operatives.
  • In the past the Israeli security forces exposed many terrorist networks and squads in Judea and Samaria handled to carry out terrorist attacks against Israeli targets. They included showcase attacks which were directed and funded by Hamas operatives in Turkey, some of whom had undergone training in the country (Israeli Security Agency website, August 19, 2014).
  • In addition, Turkey serves as a base from which to transfer funds to terrorist operatives in Judea and Samaria and to Hamas’ headquarters in the Gaza Strip. The raising, laundering and transfer of funds by Hamas operatives in Turkey was extensively described in September 2019 by the American Treasury Department.[4] The report made it clear that financial support from Iran reaches Hamas through Turkey (and sometimes Lebanon), and from there through money-changers to Hamas operatives and enablers.
  • For example, a Telegraph Middle East reporter revealed that Turkey had granted citizenship to 12 senior Hamas operatives, some of whom live there with Turkish names. A “senior source” said that the 12 had received Turkish citizenship and passports while five more were in the process of receiving them. In some instances the families of operatives also received citizenship. It was also reported that the terrorist operatives had dealt with raising funds and directing terrorist attacks. Among the senior operatives who received citizenship were Zakariya Najib, a Hamas operative who oversaw a plan to assassinate Nir Barkat when he served as mayor of Jerusalem and other Israeli public figures; Jihad Yaghmour (the Hamas representative in Turkey); Hashem Hijaz; twfo others also received Turkish citizenship and passports (The Telegraph, August 13, 2020).

[1] For further information, see, the December 24, 2019 bulletin, “Turkey as a Terrorism-Sponsoring State: Turkey allows Hamas to conduct terrorist activities from its territory, including the handling of terrorist squads in Judea and Samaria and the transfer of funds to Judea, Samaria and the Gaza Strip to finance terrorism.” 
[2] The claim is not exact because Hamas took over the Gaza Strip by force and the persecution and execution of Fatah and PA activists and operatives. 
[3] A false claim. Turkey enables terrorist operatives to use its territory, as has repeatedly been proven by interrogations of captured operatives in Israel and reports issued by the American Treasury Department. 
[4] For further information, see the September 19, 2019 bulletin, New designations recently published by the US Department of State and Department of the Treasury reveal Turkey’s central role as a hub from which Hamas handles its financial matters, including funding terrorist networks in Judea and Samaria. 

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