THEO VAN GOGH NEWS : THE BEGINNING OF THE LAST GREAT GLOBAL WARS (IT’S NOT JUST UKRAINE)!

UNPACKING THE CHINA-SOLOMON ISLAND SECURITY PACT 
Bottom Line Up Front: 19.4.22
 
  • A pending security agreement between China and the Solomon Islands has caused concern in the U.S. and Australia that Beijing could seek to build a military base closer to Australia, New Zealand, Guam, and Hawaii.
  • The new security pact between China and the Solomon Islands could prove detrimental to the latter’s sovereignty while providing the former with an increased security presence in the region.
  • Beijing’s aggressive foreign policy is designed to gain geostrategic ground in the Indo-Pacific—from Papua New Guinea to Sri Lanka—leading to growing concern for the United States and its allies.
  • Washington should seek sustainable foreign policy mechanisms to address the concerns of allies and partners in the region, instead of framing policy purely through a lens of strategic competition with China.
Late last month, a draft security agreement between the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the Solomon Islands was leaked online. The agreement paves the way for Chinese law enforcement and police to be deployed to the Pacific Island nation to assist with “maintaining social order,” while also granting access to Chinese troops and naval ships. Both the United States and Australia—the latter of which is the Solomon Islands’ dominant security partner—quickly responded to the reports of the draft security pact expressing concerns about how it would impact the security landscape of the region, especially if it would allow for a Chinese military base in the country. A week later, the Prime Minister of the Solomon Islands, Manasseh Sogavare, confirmed the existence of the draft agreement and said that it would be “cleaned up” and signed soon. Sogavare, however, disputed the reports and fears that the agreement would allow for the establishment of a Chinese military base—something that could significantly impact the United States and its allies in the region by granting China a strategic military foothold closer to not only Australia and New Zealand, but also Guam and Hawaii.

The security pact also raises concerns about how increased Chinese influence will impact the sovereignty and stability of the Solomon Islands. The agreement has been criticized as broad and vague. Others have commented on the lack of transparency and what that could portend about the agreement. Since its independence in 1978, the Solomon Islands has suffered from frequent domestic tensions that have erupted into unrest and riots, most recently in November 2021. This unrest was partly in protest of China’s increasing influence in the country. After the 2019 election of Prime Minister Sogavare, the Solomon Islands officially severed diplomatic ties with Taiwan in favor of Beijing. While Australia has historically occupied the role as the Solomon Islands’ primary economic and security partner, the country has increasingly inched closer to China economically through infrastructure deals and other economic agreements. Domestic and international critics of the PRC-Solomon Islands security pact not only fear that it would provide China with military inroads into the country and region, but also guarantee the Chinese protection of Sogavare and his government in the case of popular unrest. If the final agreement reads anything similar to the draft version, it effectively allows China to deploy law enforcement, paramilitary police, and the military on the beckoning of Sogavare to maintain civic order—something that could prove detrimental to the country’s sovereignty while providing Beijing with an increased security presence in the region.

The Solomon Islands occupies a key geostrategic position in the South Pacific. In fall of 1942, a destructive World War II battle was fought in the Solomon Islands between U.S. and Japanese forces. The President of neighboring Micronesia recently wrote to Prime Minister Sogavare expressing “deep concerns” about the agreement and reminding him of the history of great power competition in the region. Whether the security pact paves the way for a Chinese military base in the Solomon Islands remains unclear. But there is no misunderstanding Beijing’s aggressive foreign policy, which is designed to gain geostrategic ground in the Indo-Pacific—from Papua New Guinea to Sri Lanka—leading to growing concern for the United States and its allies. The Solomon Island sits on sea-lane routes that are critical to Australia for communications and shipping. A Chinese military presence in the country could significantly threaten Australia, New Zealand, and other Pacific nations’ national security, block critical shipping routes throughout the South Pacific, and allow for military intelligence activities against the U.S. and its allies.

The PRC-Solomon Islands security pact is yet another example of how Beijing gradually increases its economic and security influence in the Indo-Pacific by targeting the elites of a country, while U.S. diplomacy and foreign policy falls short in any strategic gains or countermeasures. Experts have criticized the United States for its slow response in ramping up diplomatic and strategic engagements in the South Pacific. In February 2022, the U.S. announced that it will re-open an embassy in the Solomon Islands, which has been closed since 1993. This week, U.S. National Security Council Indo-Pacific Coordinator and Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs are leading a delegation traveling to the Solomon Islands, in addition to Fiji and Papua New Guinea, for an unusual high-level visit. While these efforts indicate that Washington is clearly awakening to the potential gravity of China’s inroads in the South Pacific, it is imperative that U.S. foreign policy not be purely reactive to the actions of the PRC. One of the primary concerns of South Pacific nations is the threat of climate change. It is important that the United States creates sustainable, beneficial, and cooperative foreign policy mechanisms to address the security and economic concerns of allies and partners in the region, instead of framing policy purely through a lens of strategic competition with China.

 

 

 

 

THEO VAN GOGH: da capo al fine = 10 Jahre hatte Rainer Hermann (FAZ) ERDOGAN CHARMIERT – NUN ERNEUT WIEDER!

Folgen des Ukrainekriegs : Die Türkei besinnt sich auf ihre Verankerung im Westen

  • Von Rainer Hermann FAZ – 19.4.2022 Eine Mehrheit der Türken sah bisher die Zukunft ihres Landes in einem eurasischen Block. Die Regierung stimmt sie auf neue Realitäten ein.

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOP MIDEAST WATCH: The Campaign to Thwart Iran’s Strategy

Colonel (res.) Prof. Gabi Siboni Expert on cyber security, military strategy, and technology.  Brig. Gen. (res.) Yuval Bazak

Militarysecurity analyst chief of the IDF Galilee Division Staff.

A proactive approach against Iran’s proxies is needed. THE JERUSALEM INSTITUTE 13.04.2022

Recent years have demonstrated that although Israel’s use of force may have slowed down the development of Iran’s plans, it has not been enough to derail the forces of the Shiite axis

weiterlesen / click to continue

THEO VAN GOGH: MOSKVA ATTACK ROAD TO PEACE?Moskva Loss ‘Very, Very Painful Blow’ for Russia: Former Putin Adviser

JASON LEMON 4/15/22 NEWSWEEK -Andrei Illarionov, an economist and former policy adviser to Russian President Vladimir Putin, said that the loss of the Moskva warship is a “very, very painful blow” for the Russian military.

weiterlesen / click to continue

THEO VAN GOGH: WIE DER OSTERHASE GEKREUZIGT WURDE!

„OH HAUPT VOLL BLUT UND WUNDEN / VOLL SCHMERZ UND VOLLER HOHN“ – NEUINSZENIERUNG UNTER DER PRIDE FLAG! Auch Mit Gil Ofarim, aber nicht als Judas!

RTL feiert “Die Passion”Die größte Geschichte aller Zeiten neu erzählt

13.04.2022, Alexander Klaws wird in die Rolle von Jesus schlüpfen.

 

Es ist ein Mammutprojekt, an das sich RTL kurz vor Ostern wagt.

weiterlesen / click to continue

THEO VAN GOGH NEWS: Negative Views of U.S. Have Surged in Russia Since Start of Ukraine War, Poll Finds

By Matthew Luxmoore WALL STREET JOURNAL WSJ 16.4.22 The survey also shows that Russian attitudes toward the European Union have worsened

weiterlesen / click to continue

THEO VAN GOGH REVIEW ESSAY – The Cold War Never Ended

Ukraine, the China Challenge, and the Revival of the West

By Stephen Kotkin May/June 2022 FOREIGN AFFAIRS

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOP MIDEAST WATCH ANALYSIS: Spring Awakening: A New Wave of Militia Strikes or Just a Blip?

Michael KnightsCrispin Smith Apr 8, 2022  THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE – Brief Analysis

Militia groups appear to be increasingly exercising their different kinetic capabilities in Iraq and Syria, but why now?

weiterlesen / click to continue

MESOP MIDEAST WATCH: US State Departement 2021 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices: Iraq

 

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 13.4.22 KURDISTAN

Iraq is a constitutional parliamentary republic. The October 10 parliamentary elections were generally considered free and fair. The elections were observed by the European Union and domestic civil society organizations and monitored by the United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq. Domestic and international elections observers cited procedural and transparency improvements to the electoral process over the 2018 elections.

weiterlesen / click to continue

THEO VAN GOGH GLOBAL SPACE WAR UKRAINE: How US intel worked with commercial satellite firms to reveal Ukraine info

While the NGA chief said it’s “surprising to see that information advantage on the battlefield is so far countering superior equipment and mass” in Ukraine, experts warn a future information fight with China won’t likely go as smoothly. BREAKING DEFENSE USA – Theresa Hitchens on April 07, 2022

weiterlesen / click to continue

« neuere Artikel / next articles   ältere Artikel / previous articles »