By Gonul Tol October 9, 2019 BY FOREIGN AFFAIRS
In a stunning announcement on Sunday, the Trump administration gave the nod to a Turkish military incursion into northeastern Syria, an operation that would entail clashes with Washington’s Kurdish allies in the area. The U.S. military, which has around 1,000 troops in Syria, would not “support or be involved in the operation.” But the White House said it would pull back U.S. forces stationed near the Syrian-Turkish border to clear the way for Ankara’s troops.
Facing an intense backlash even among Republicans, Trump seemed to backpedal on Monday. But Turkish army units stand ready at the Syrian border, and Washington’s exhortations are unlikely to keep Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan from giving them the green light. This is because Turkey’s strategy is more than an exercise in geopolitics—for Erdogan, the war touches on his very political survival.
MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : TODAYS OPINION BY SEZEN SAHIN
|by Sezen Şahin – October 7, 2019 – GATESTONE INSTITUT|
- Turkey’s Erdoğan government will be invading northern Syria to slaughter the Kurds, America’s loyal allies against ISIS; release captured ISIS fighters, and doubtless seek to stay permanently in control of the area. The horror is that it will be doing all this with the tacit blessing of the US.
- “I am saying this today: We have not got the required support from the world — particularly from the EU — to share the burden of the refugees we have been hosting, so we might have to [open the gates] to get the support.” — Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Takvim, September 5, 2019
- “If we open the floodgates, no European government will be able to survive for more than six months. We advise them not to try our patience.” — Turkish Interior Minister Süleyman Soylu, Anadolu Agency, July 21, 2019.
- Erdogan’s threats are not new… and his claims are flawed…. Ankara has not lived up to its commitments.
- “The most important question is why the refugee camps are not open to civil monitoring. Entry to refugee camps is not allowed. The camps are not transparent. There are many allegations as to what is happening in them. We are therefore worried about what they are hiding from us.” — Cansu Turan, a social worker with the Human Rights Foundation of Turkey (TIHV), to Gatestone Institute, August 2016.
Hasankeyf – eine Stadt geht unter
In der Südosttürkei steht der kontroverse Ilisu-Staudamm kurz vor der Fertigstellung. In wenigen Monaten wird die jahrtausendealte Stadt Hasankeyf im Stausee untergehen. Die Bewohner versuchen sich mit der neuen Realität zu arrangieren. – Volker Pabst, Hasankeyf NEUE ZÜRCHER ZEITUG – 7.10.2019,
MESOPOTAMIA NEWS : ERDOGAN WILL RULE THE WAVES ! Turkey is Making Waves in the Eastern Mediterranean
Author Tess Geri – TEL AVIV – MDC intern Tess Geri writes about the effect of the natural gas reserves’ discovery on the alliances and conflicts in the Eastern Mediterranean, focusing on Turkey’s actions to expand its naval presence in this area. – Date October 6, 2019 MOSHE DAYAN CENTER
Following the discovery of substantial natural gas reserves, a new ‘Great Game’ is emerging in the Eastern Mediterranean in which new alliances and conflicts are developing. From the northern shores of Egypt to the southern coast of Turkey, states are competing for control of the natural gas discoveries and energy routes. Turkey and its ally, the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), are clashing with a developing energy and security cooperation bloc nicknamed ‘Club Med,’ which includes Egypt, Greece, the Republic of Cyrpus (RoC), and Israel.
Tamr Hussein : 6 Oct 2019 – The five are accused of membership in an illegal organization and spreading propaganda, pro-Kurdish Mezopotamya news agency reported late on Friday, without naming a group of their alleged membership.
Turkey detains 5 Germans on terror charges – Seth J. Frantzman Basically every is a member of an illegal organization
Five German citizens are receiving consular support after they were detained in Turkey. Pro-Kurdish media reported that they have been accused of being members of an illegal organization and spreading propaganda.
Challenging the World Order: Erdoğan & Nukes
By Dr. James M. Dorsey October 6, 2019 – BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 1,306, October 6, 2019 / ISRAEL
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Brinksmanship may be his trademark, but Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is unlikely to provoke the ire of the international community by launching a nuclear weapons program. Still, his demand that Turkey has the right to do so highlights the fracturing of the rules-based international order as well as changing regional realities.
29 Sept 2019 – 9m
Potential for Iyi Party to join AKP alliance according to this report from
More via www.mesop.de
Featuring Soner Cagaptay, Amanda Sloat, Molly Montgomery, and Tomasz Hoskins
Policy Forum Report – September 27, 2019
A lively discussion of how Ottoman history, pro-Western precedent, and sharp regional setbacks have shaped the Turkish leader’s shifting approach to foreign affairs and relations with Washington.
On September 24, Soner Cagaptay, Amanda Sloat, Molly Montgomery, and Tomasz Hoskins addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute to discuss Dr. Cagaptay’s new book Erdogan’s Empire: Turkey and the Politics of the Middle East. Cagaptay is the Institute’s Beyer Family Fellow and director of its Turkish Research Program. Sloat is a Robert Bosch Senior Fellow with the Brookings Institution’s Center on the United States and Europe. Montgomery is a vice president at Albright Stonebridge Group and a former State Department advisor. Hoskins is the publisher and commissioning editor for politics at I.B. Tauris, an imprint of Bloomsbury. The following is a rapporteur’s summary of their remarks.
Erdogan Vows to Continue Buying Oil, Gas from Iran
Friday, 27 September, 2019 – 11:00 Asharq Al-Awsat – Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has vowed Ankara would continue to purchase oil and natural gas from Iran despite US sanctions. “It is impossible for us to cancel relations with Iran with regards to oil and natural gas. We will continue to buy our natural gas from there,” Erdogan told Turkish reporters before leaving New York where he was attending the UN General Assembly.
by Soner Cagaptay with Deniz Yuksel
PolicyWatch 3187 – September 24, 2019 – Despite diluting certain commonalities with Europe and Washington over the past decade, Ankara still relies on the West in the trade, investment, and security realms.
Turkey’s recent decision to purchase the Russian S-400 missile defense system has led many to wonder whether Ankara aims to exit the West. Such questions are understandable given the many steps President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has taken to distinguish his country politically and culturally from the United States and the European Union. Yet he also realizes how much he needs them to fuel Turkey’s economy, to keep winning elections, and to maintain keep the NATO security umbrella against Russia, a geopolitical rival whose historical enmity against the Turks runs deeper than any single arms deal can erase.