MESOP TODAYS ANALYSIS : NOTHING LEARNED ! JUST POSTMODERNIST TALKING !

15 March 2017 – Western Policy Towards Syria — Applying Lessons Learned –  “The greatest leverage that the West possesses is economic: through sanctions, trade and reconstruction”

Eight analysts from the London-based Chatham House — Lina Khatib, Tim Eaton, Haid Haid, Christopher Phillips, Neil Quilliam, Ibrahim Hamidi, Bassma Kodmani, and Lina Sinjab — have issued a 38-page report reviewing the six years of the Syrian conflict and assessing if any productive steps can now be taken by the “West”.

The Summary:  Six years into Syria’s conflict, ‘victory’ for any particular actor is likely to prove a relative term. The regime of President Bashar al-Assad holds the military advantage, but lacks the capacity and resources to recapture and govern the whole of Syria. A post-settlement Syrian state would likely see new elites and warlords wielding power and influence across the country. At the same time, extremist groups are likely to persist and evolve. This is no recipe for stability.