MESOP GLOBAL ANALYST SOURCES : Ruling Turkish Party Loses Parliamentary Majority

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his ruling ruling Justice Development Party (AKP) lost its single-party majority (Hurriyet) on Sunday in parliamentary elections. The pro-Kurdish HDP party cleared for the first time a 10 percent threshold for representation in parliament, marking a historic political breakthrough for the country’s eighteen million-strong Kurdish minority. The results represented a significant setback for Erdogan (NYT), who had hoped to push constitutional changes that would have prolonged his powers. All three opposition parties have rejected forming any coalition with the AKP, complicating the process of forming a new government (AP) within forty-five days after official results are announced.
ANALYSIS

“This result gives Turkey’s Kurds and the other voters who deserted the AKP and flocked to the HDP banner an unprecedented national platform from which to counter the neo-Islamist AKP’s assault on Turkey’s secular tradition, which has gathered pace in recent years,” writes Simon Tisdall for the Guardian.

“One very important risk the AKP and Erdogan could face is the possibility that a large coalition between the CHP, MHP and HDP could be formed on certain conditions and with the purpose of undermining Erdogan’s position. This large coalition would later take the country to polls with, for example, a reduced election threshold and other legal amendments for the further normalization of the country,” writes Serkan Demirtas for the Hurriyet Daily.

“Turkey built its Syria policy on two objectives: toppling the regime and marginalizing the Kurds. They turned a blind eye to radical jihadi groups’ activities within Turkey’s borders, thinking they could be an effective fighting force not only against the Assad regime but against Syrian Kurds. If we see an HDP-AKP coalition, that will change,” says Gonul Tol in this CFR Interview.