MESOP NEWS Top of the Agenda –

Xi Warns Biden on Taiwan Ahead of Pelosi’s Potential Visit (Council on Foreign Relations)

 

 

29.7.22 – Chinese President Xi Jinping has warned U.S. President Joe Biden not to “play with fire” (AP) when it comes to Taiwan, Chinese state media said. The warning came in a phone call yesterday that lasted more than two hours and occurred as U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi plans a potential trip to the island next month. The two leaders also discussed (VOA) trade issues, the war in Ukraine, and the possibility of a future in-person meeting.

The Chinese military has made clear that it would take strong countermeasures if a U.S. delegation were to visit the island. U.S. forces are reportedly planning to increase their activity (SCMP) in the Indo-Pacific if Pelosi’s trip takes place.

Analysis
“This is a crisis manufactured by China, one with the potential to shake the global economic order given that Taiwan produces the lion’s share of the world’s advanced semiconductors,” CFR President Richard Haass tells the Financial Times. “Should a crisis spiral into a conflict, it would also fundamentally challenge the Indo-Pacific strategic order, as U.S. allies and others would expect Washington to come to Taipei’s defence.”

“Chinese leaders are increasingly enraged over U.S. actions that they see as hollowing out Washington’s ‘one China’ policy and Taiwanese actions—both domestic legislation and international outreach—that they interpret as moves toward independence,” the Stimson Center’s Yun Sun writes for Foreign Affairs.

 

This Backgrounder explains why China-Taiwan relations are so tense.

 

On The President’s Inbox podcast, CFR’s David Sacks and James M. Lindsay discuss the Biden administration’s Taiwan strategy.